$15 hyper - shoving or shutting down on river? - Heads Up SNG and Spin and Gos -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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$15 hyper - shoving or shutting down on river?

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04-07-2017 , 12:57 PM

obbudsman

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2015 Posts: 1,472

Villain min-raised 45%, limped 41%.
Cbet 1/5, fold vs turn probe 2/3.

Stacks are 2x pot on the river.
Is it OK to overbet the river (maybe even shove?), because I block flushes and straights?

I think villain has many Tx in his range, and I already beat most missed draws, so I guess it's either check or bet very big?

PokerStars - 10/20 NL (2 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 25 BB (VPIP: 76.42, PFR: 45.74, 3Bet Preflop: 18.75, Hands: 114)
Hero (BB): 25 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q

SB raises to 2 BB, Hero calls 1 BB

Flop: (4 BB, 2 players) 6

Hero checks, SB checks

Turn: (4 BB, 2 players) 3

Hero bets 3 BB, SB calls 3 BB

River: (10 BB, 2 players) 9

[color=red]Hero ?

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04-07-2017 , 04:04 PM

none888

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 2,665

Id go big, something like pot-small overbet, so much stuff you can fold out on this board imo.

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04-19-2017 , 04:06 AM

ficilan

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 434

what do you expect to fold out here?, imo J is calling 9 is calling/folding depending on if villain is staion or not, not depending on our sizing
T might be the only hand that might fold to pot+bet and call half+ pot bet
agree with betting, just wanna know why you think overbetting is better than like 6-7bb bet pot..thanks

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04-19-2017 , 04:18 AM

none888

veteran

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 2,665

basically 6x, 9x, Tx is what we target to fold out, also I think some fish will fold Jx vs big sizing, like overbetting looks very strong and even fish recognizes we are strong and his Jx is not good and imo sizing matters here as this board is scary even for fish, Id go big, something like pot to maximise fold equity, so much easier for him to call 6bb with those hands than pot size bet. If you think they fold good amount of 6x, 9x versus small size than obv small sizing would be best, something like 4bb, but I dont think fish folds pairs that easy vs small size.

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