Ok, per nicecatch08 range.

We need 31.25% equity to make this call correct.

Let's say his range is sets, overpair and air. Except he can't have all air. His air is diamonds only.

Versus EVERY SINGLE diamond hand he can have that is air on the river:

Board: 9d 4c 2d 6h 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.000% 50.00% 00.00% 35 0.00 { Jd9h }
Hand 1: 50.000% 50.00% 00.00% 35 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, AdKd, AdQd, AdTd, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, KdQd, KdTd, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd5d, Kd4d, Kd3d, QdTd, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd5d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Td8d, Td7d, Td5d, Td4d, Td3d, 8d7d, 8d5d, 8d4d, 8d3d, 7d5d, 7d4d, 7d3d, 5d4d, 5d3d, 4d3d }

Clearly a +EV call vs your range. Again assuming it's 100% all diamonds range.

Also this is 36 diamond flushes btw..

If I take away the big diamonds(AK/AQ/AT/KQ/QT/KT) and Adxd that he'd raise preflop, we're left with 25 diamond flushes

Board: 9d 4c 2d 6h 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.678% 40.68% 00.00% 24 0.00 { Jd9h }
Hand 1: 59.322% 59.32% 00.00% 35 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd5d, Kd4d, Kd3d, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd5d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Td8d, Td7d, Td5d, Td4d, Td3d, 8d7d, 8d5d, 8d4d, 8d3d, 7d5d, 7d4d, 7d3d, 5d4d, 5d3d, 4d3d }

If we take away T8dd/87dd/54dd/75dd and he'd raise those preflop.. leaving 21 diamond whiffs on river


Board: 9d 4c 2d 6h 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.364% 36.36% 00.00% 20 0.00 { Jd9h }
Hand 1: 63.636% 63.64% 00.00% 35 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, Kd8d, Kd7d, Kd5d, Kd4d, Kd3d, Qd8d, Qd7d, Qd5d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Td7d, Td5d, Td4d, Td3d, 8d5d, 8d4d, 8d3d, 7d4d, 7d3d, 5d3d, 4d3d }

Still +EV. But now it's getting closer.

If we take away all Kdxd and Qd8d, leaving only 15 diamonds whiffs possible..

Board: 9d 4c 2d 6h 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.571% 28.57% 00.00% 14 0.00 { Jd9h }
Hand 1: 71.429% 71.43% 00.00% 35 0.00 { 99+, 44, 22, Qd7d, Qd5d, Qd4d, Qd3d, Td7d, Td5d, Td4d, Td3d, 8d5d, 8d4d, 8d3d, 7d4d, 7d3d, 5d3d, 4d3d }


-ev..

Why you leading flop OP?? I am clicking fold vs this dude.

I am leading the flop for value thinking I have the best hand 90%+, and pretty happy 3barreling, 30, 70, 140 or something on a board like 24966. as a generalization and from what ive seen so far of this guy I dont expect to get rr and put in these tough spots a ton really.

lotta for you work on the stove border

I just wonder how often he plays his diamonds this strong after the A6 hand... either ways i guess after 8 hands you cant be completely ruling out him playing diamonds this way so its kinda close. I guess the other thing is does the way the board runs out discourage dd from 3barreling here alot since flopped 2p hands get counterfeited. by the river i think my hand really looks a ton like 9x (some dd too obv), does he expect 9x to fold the river?.

+1