Originally Posted by Greg (FossilMan)
SageDonkey -
Many good questions and comments. I appreciate your straightforward tone, as well, when asking the questions. Some posters are very accusatory with their choice of words.
I really don't see any good way to corroborate cash game results. One of my last cash games was a short-handed, low-limit, dealer's choice game at Ameristar EC. I didn't really know anybody in the game most of the night, and there was enough turnover that no single person could have verified my result with any reasonable certainty. As with so much of this deal, you either trust me, or you don't. If you don't, then this is not a good deal for you, and you should pass.
The problem with doing any pre-ordained payouts mid-deal is that because there is so much turnover in this bankroll, doing something like that could then cause the bankroll to deflate too much later in the year. If I won something truly massive (several 100K), I would contact everybody and ask if they ALL want a partial payout, but it would need to be pretty close to unanimous before I would do it.
As for limits on how big I play, I am promising to always be reasonable in that regard with respect to the current bankroll, but you'll have to trust my judgment. One understanding is that I would use this to play the WSOP Main Event no matter where the bankroll was at that time. Similarly, even if the bankroll gets very low, I'm still going to play events with buyins at least as high as 1500. This is why I do not want to put a clause in the deal that I must stick to events wherein the current bankroll has 100x the buyin, or 50x, or even 10x for that matter. There are at least a couple of clearly possible exceptions to any such limitation. I did this deal before, last year and for 2 years in 2002-04, and none of my investors ever said a word about being unhappy with my game selection. I'm pretty sure I'm much more risk adverse than most poker players, and have always avoided tough cash games and taken my edge into account when choosing what to play. For example, I'm always going to pick the soft 1,2 NLH game over the kinda tough 5,10 NLH game. I see too many pros playing with their ego, and picking the 5,10 game where they might avg 20/hour, instead of the 1,2 game where they might avg 30/hour. I always go for the highest EV that I can reasonably afford to risk, not the game/tournament that offers the biggest prize when I happen to do well.
you and Lego05 both mentioned risks associated with death/injury/legal issues/etc. Those are real concerns. This money will not be in the bank co-mingled with my money. It will be physically separate, and I will have documents outlining what it is, and who owns it, which would be available to my wife, or somebody else if she and I were both incapacitated. My wife understands that this is not my/her/our money, she was a lawyer before as well, and she will know how to properly distribute it to the investors. While I am not planning on doing a formal contract, I will email everybody the full terms of the deal before we start. That way, there are no misunderstandings about the details, and my estate will be able to handle things properly if it came to that.
Lego05-
Cash games were a small portion of my time last year, maybe 200 hours or so. Games were often very small, such as 1,2 NLH or 4-8 mixed games. The biggest games I played were about 40-80 limit and 10,20 NL, but those were only a handful of times. Hard to predict the cash game situation for 2015, but it is something I will do if there is time available, a worthwhile game available, and the bankroll is big enough for the game. I do not expect that this will encompass online play, as I've done none of that since Black Friday. It is certainly possible that I could sign up for an online site while in LV this summer for the WSOP, and if I did so, it would be included, but I'd say the chances of that are less than 50%. Probably only going to happen if somebody is running a promotion that is too good to refuse, and for which I have the time.
Thanks for your interest!
Greg Raymer (FossilMan)