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| Midstakes MTT Discussion and analysis of midstakes MTT strategy |
06-17-2012, 11:17 AM
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#1
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veteran
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: it's all about could have beens
Posts: 2,038
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SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
They're both losing with not too big samples. I guess flop is standard call since they might have whatever crap there but I really have no plan and I'd like to have some guidelines for it. Turn was 8  , what would you do against various scenarios? :<
Poker Stars, $200 Buy-in (40/80 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
BB: 10,450 (130.6 bb)
UTG: 10,120 (126.5 bb)
Hero (MP): 10,100 (126.3 bb)
CO: 8,970 (112.1 bb)
BTN: 10,120 (126.5 bb)
SB: 10,596 (132.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP with Q  Q
UTG folds, Hero raises to 200, CO calls 200, BTN calls 200, 2 folds
Flop: (720) 5  T  2 (3 players)
Hero bets 375, CO calls 375, BTN raises to 920, Hero ?
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06-17-2012, 12:06 PM
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#2
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Oct 2009
Location: the nice hot tub
Posts: 6,638
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
Might fold or call flop fold most turns
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06-17-2012, 12:30 PM
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#3
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veteran
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: it's all about could have beens
Posts: 2,038
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
I did actually fold the flop but that felt super weak against droolers. However lack of plan made me so.
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06-17-2012, 01:04 PM
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#4
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Jan 2009
Location: The Hologram
Posts: 4,355
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
Don't think folding is that weak if we're conservative in how we estimate their range readless, which I don't think is bad readless. I mean conservatively:
JJ = 6
Set = 9 hands
Slowplayed AA/KK (discounted) = ~ 3
Obviously AT, etc, are possible if we want to widen villain's range some, which means we should probably just shove AI otf.
Calling here and c/f OTT can't be terrible because technically we're getting odds here, and villain's range narrows significantly OTT if he bets again iyam and we can fold pretty safely. If he checks we should probably just c/c OTR as well, maybe block bet/fold.
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06-17-2012, 05:18 PM
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#5
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 5,353
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
is this the half price sunday warm up?
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06-17-2012, 05:53 PM
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#6
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banned
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: uncapped, every street
Posts: 2,887
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
Flat and figure out stuff on the turn
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06-17-2012, 05:59 PM
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#7
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veteran
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: it's all about could have beens
Posts: 2,038
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
Quote:
Originally Posted by gregz41
is this the half price sunday warm up?
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subject
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06-18-2012, 05:22 AM
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#8
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old hand
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,447
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
yeah, id fold flop this deep. nothin to be concerned about
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06-18-2012, 05:33 AM
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#9
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: near your blinds
Posts: 9,407
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
ford frop
no need to risk 126BB just because he might be overplaying a ten.
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06-18-2012, 07:42 AM
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#10
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deviation of equilibrium
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Germany
Posts: 27,370
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chuck Bass
Might fold or call flop fold most turns
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same
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06-18-2012, 07:50 AM
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#11
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grinder
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 641
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
I can see the logic of being deep and not wanting to take unnecessary risks re: villain overplaying a worse pair, but at the same time...seems premature maybe? I struggle because not only does folding seem weak, but calling seems passive. If we call, 4/5 times it will go c/1500-2500 OTT and we're gonna be hating that decision unless we spike a queen. Raising could resolve the hand on the spot, as bluffs and overplayed worse pairs will probably go away (or at least will slow down), and better hands will 4bet and continue betting OTT/OTR. I also recognize my own tendency to want to raise too much. =O
I guess, as I processed through this while typing, that folding due to the stack sizes involved is probably most wise. Regardless, it's a good bet by villain who's in position to make such a play.
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06-18-2012, 08:01 AM
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#12
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grinder
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 520
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
i have better abiture than wizowizo and tupacmn still not that good
u can call or fold flop whenever i call they bet turn i fold and hate myself for peeling so folding is prolly best play here
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06-18-2012, 09:39 PM
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#13
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: near your blinds
Posts: 9,407
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
Quote:
Originally Posted by DudeImBetter
I can see the logic of being deep and not wanting to take unnecessary risks re: villain overplaying a worse pair, but at the same time...seems premature maybe? I struggle because not only does folding seem weak, but calling seems passive. If we call, 4/5 times it will go c/1500-2500 OTT and we're gonna be hating that decision unless we spike a queen. Raising could resolve the hand on the spot, as bluffs and overplayed worse pairs will probably go away (or at least will slow down), and better hands will 4bet and continue betting OTT/OTR. I also recognize my own tendency to want to raise too much. =O
I guess, as I processed through this while typing, that folding due to the stack sizes involved is probably most wise. Regardless, it's a good bet by villain who's in position to make such a play.
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It doesn't matter if it's weak and it doesn't really seem weak. there are many hands in our range that we should b/fing that flop with. He's not going to know we folded what we had and we're not going to be in this spot often enough for it to be exploitable and if we do find him raising many flops of that texture then we won't be folding anymore. Simply put, if it's a play then villain can't do it often otherwise we can exploit him very easily.
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06-19-2012, 12:57 AM
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#14
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journeyman
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 322
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
I don't understand why we wouldn't just flat, then c/c non T, J, K, A turns and rivers.
What range are you guys giving him for bumping the flop? Even if his range is only 22, 55, TT and JJ we'll have about 40% equity on all non J turns and rivers so we can profitably call down.
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06-19-2012, 02:35 AM
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#15
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old hand
Join Date: Sep 2011
Posts: 1,447
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Re: SWU (215$, not today) w/QQ against two randoms
^w0000t?!
the flop is as dry as the p***y of an elderly lady. you have one cold caller and one smallish raise. the pot gets big otf and you wanna range him like that and station down for ur whole stack.
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