simple postflop spot with flush draw + 2 overs multi-way - Midstakes MTT -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

pkratitsbest · 12-10-2011, 10:26 AM

Poker Stars, $5 Buy-in (1,500/3,000 blinds, 300 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #11281552

SB: 82,626 (27.5 bb)
BB: 129,134 (43 bb)
UTG+1: 93,071 (31 bb)
UTG+2: 64,619 (21.5 bb)
MP1: 89,965 (30 bb)
MP2: 86,435 (28.8 bb)
MP3: 93,633 (31.2 bb)
Hero (CO): 169,814 (56.6 bb)
BTN: 102,483 (34.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q

K

2 folds, MP1 raises to 6,247, MP2 folds, MP3 calls 6,247, Hero calls 6,247, 2 folds, BB calls 3,247

Flop: (29,188) 5

T

(4 players)
BB bets 9,775, MP1 raises to 19,550, 2 folds, BB raises to 29,325, MP1 raises to 83,418 and is all-in, BB folds

Spoiler:

Results: 87,838 pot
Final Board: 5

T

BB mucked and lost (-35,872 net)
MP1 mucked and won 87,838 (51,966 net)
MP3 mucked and lost (-6,547 net)
Hero mucked Q

K

and lost (-6,547 net)

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ez fold to the min raise OTF?
preflop raiser is a sick aggro winning small stake reg with 40% over 14k games. he was opening a lot even with 25-35bb stack. no reads on the donk better.
main question: i wanna know what should be my plan if BB checks, the preflop raiser bets 13k, r/get it in, flat? reversed implied odds vs Axdd and its multi-way on a paired board. would u consider folding?

gregz41 · 12-10-2011, 04:41 PM

I'd say it's a fold, both their ranges is going to consist of Tx a lot and it's likely one of our outs will be counterfitted. We also don't have the nut flush draw so there is no gaurenteeing that we could draw live to that either.