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Shortie on the bubble with 77 Shortie on the bubble with 77

12-18-2016 , 12:08 PM
888 Poker - 500/1000 Ante 125 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 20.49 BB (VPIP: 16.57, PFR: 11.98, 3Bet Preflop: 6.76, Hands: 169)
MP: 4.61 BB (VPIP: 27.27, PFR: 20.79, 3Bet Preflop: 6.82, Hands: 111)
MP+1: 18.59 BB (VPIP: 13.04, PFR: 13.04, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 23)
CO: 45.12 BB (VPIP: 20.94, PFR: 16.47, 3Bet Preflop: 6.45, Hands: 1,449)
BTN: 70 BB (VPIP: 13.33, PFR: 13.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
Hero (SB): 4.9 BB
BB: 69.32 BB (VPIP: 19.68, PFR: 15.42, 3Bet Preflop: 4.66, Hands: 1,000)
UTG: 27.82 BB (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 17.46, 3Bet Preflop: 10.34, Hands: 63)

8 players post ante of 0.13 BB, Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has 7 7

fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4.55 BB, fold, CO raises to 7.11 BB, Hero calls 0.22 BB and is all-in

We where on the bubble (i think last 28 players) and the first ITM place was 54$ so almost double the buy-in.

I checked this spot in Holdem recources and against a 30% open range we got an EV of +0.40 so thats 400 chips right?

Just getting into money gives us 54$ or in chips something like 9000 (starting stack was 5k) but even Aces just win about 2 blinds only on average in this spot (2k) but i can't imagine ever folding them obviously.
So how much EV do we look for in this spot? (btw we were the smallest stack in the tournament along with another guy in the table)
Shortie on the bubble with 77 Quote
12-19-2016 , 05:09 AM
On direct bubble easy fold. Even winning this flip does mostly not ending up winning more than 100ish $ which you would need to break even. I would fold anything but QQ+ on a 2x bi bubble as short stack.
Shortie on the bubble with 77 Quote

      
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