Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Rick
In spots like these you don't have to worry about MP3 who just called a raise. He will fold to the shove >95% of the time. In a bigger tourney (more pros and better players) or at an extremely aggressive table then you would have to worry that MP3 has AA/KK/etc. and is trapping. Now you are basically worried about TT/JJ and he gets stubborn.
The problem is MP2. You say he is active but you should probably construct a range for him and then decide what % he is calling your shove. You are shoving for < 50% of his chips - he would have 20 bb's if he calls and loses. He is getting like 3:2 on the shove and the problem is that he has many hands that have you dominated that he probably calls with (like A9s, KQ, KJs, KTs, 99, AK, etc.). There are probably very few hands that he folds that are ahead of you - unless he is raising Ax...
I wouldn't do it. Too many times he calls and you are knocked out. Not to mention somebody behind you waking up with QQ+/AK. This is slightly offset by your tight image.
Finally someone that makes sense although i disagree with some hands that mp2 will call my shove. He certainly wont commit with A9, KJ, KQ, K10, A10, AJ for the same fear of being dominated by my tight range. Its a pretty close spot though and i understand folding as a solid option, specially since if i get called im in terrible shape. But if it gets through i increase my stack by like 50% without showdown.