Just entered tourny a few hands ago, no real reads. Scoped villain quickly and he was up ~3k over 300 games $53 abi.
iPoker - $80.00+$8.00|<> NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: 41 BB (VPIP: 6.25, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 48)
UTG: 55.95 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
UTG+1: 58.55 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
UTG+2: 48.1 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
MP: 57.82 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 7)
MP+1: 35.65 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
CO: 51.25 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
Hero (BTN): 49.4 BB
SB: 37.7 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K
K
fold,
UTG+1 raises to 2.35 BB,
fold, MP calls 2.35 BB,
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 7.27 BB,
fold,
fold,
UTG+1 calls 4.92 BB, MP calls 4.92 BB
Flop: (23.31 BB, 3 players) Q
J
9
UTG+1 checks, MP checks,
Hero checks
Turn: (23.31 BB, 3 players) 2
UTG+1 bets 13.25 BB,
fold,
Hero calls 13.25 BB
River: (49.81 BB, 2 players) 9
UTG+1 bets 38.03 BB,
Hero??
I think my hand just isn't strong enough relative to their ranges to bet this flop for value, but I have decent equity so I think plays well as a check. Turn nothing to do but call. River is tough, not quite sure how many worse value combos he has, or how often he's bluffing this against my perceived capped range. I feel like this is basically the nut river for my hand as I now beat QJ so if I'm calling turn and folding this river I'm just burning money? Thoughts on all streets appreciated, thanks.
Last edited by Turbulenc3; 10-14-2013 at 10:58 AM.