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Midstakes MTT Discussion and analysis of midstakes MTT strategy

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Old 06-28-2012, 09:21 PM   #1
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Good $Ev shove on final?

It seemed standard to me until BB called lighter than I expected.

He's a fish calling the following range imo.

22+,A4s+,K9s+,QJs,A4o+,KJo+

About 21 % of hands.

*Utg is fairly short and will be in BB next.

Payouts are

732
510
387
287
191


If you do think this is a fold what % of hands are you putting in here, given his wide calling range?

Many thanks.


Poker Stars €27+€3 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1500/t3000 Blinds + t375 - 5 players - View hand 1808718
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: t95005 M = 14.90
BTN: t95054 M = 14.91
Hero (SB): t39161 M = 6.14
BB: t93391 M = 14.65
UTG: t31389 M = 4.92

Pre Flop: (t6375) Hero is SB with 3 4
3 folds, Hero raises to t38786 all in, BB calls t35786

Flop: (t79447) Q 2 8 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Turn: (t79447) T (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: (t79447) 9 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Last edited by My Name Is Lincoln; 06-28-2012 at 09:21 PM. Reason: probs A2s too
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Old 06-29-2012, 09:51 AM   #2
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

#PagingPablito
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Old 06-29-2012, 10:31 AM   #3
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

Even I wouldn't shove this
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Old 06-29-2012, 10:58 AM   #4
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

Probably not atc
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Old 06-29-2012, 11:00 AM   #5
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

yeah shove alot but not 34o
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Old 06-29-2012, 08:17 PM   #6
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

fold one more time imho,56s maybe....
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Old 06-30-2012, 02:12 AM   #7
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

45s+
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Old 06-30-2012, 10:13 AM   #8
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

Quote:
Originally Posted by pkratitsbest View Post
45s+
65% of hands seems certainly profitable dollar wise.

I played around with ICMIZER a bit and with it assuming a nash calling range for him, which was definitely too tight

this was +$Ev, but only by something like. 0.3% with his wider range for calling I think it would be a losing shove.

thanks for responses so far.
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Old 06-30-2012, 11:27 AM   #9
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

I'm folding that hand against such player all day long. Used pokerstove and came on the conclusion I'm shoving 30% of my hands against him: any pp, any broadway, any ace, k7s+, k9o+, 98s+, 109o+, j9s+..
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Old 06-30-2012, 07:39 PM   #10
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Re: Good $Ev shove on final?

ez fold
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