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ACR $22 Flop Decision

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01-13-2017 , 08:38 PM

persianpunisher

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 2,818

Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 350/700 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 10,162 (VPIP: 21.62, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 1.06, Hands: 225)
UTG+1: 12,712 (VPIP: 31.58, PFR: 10.53, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 19)
MP: 11,255 (VPIP: 18.27, PFR: 12.30, 3Bet Preflop: 6.94, Hands: 198)
Hero (CO): 26,122
BTN: 20,053 (VPIP: 23.93, PFR: 22.44, 3Bet Preflop: 9.62, Hands: 167)
SB: 18,303 (VPIP: 35.29, PFR: 35.29, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 17)
BB: 26,611 (VPIP: 31.08, PFR: 28.38, 3Bet Preflop: 26.67, Hands: 77)

7 players post ante of 75, SB posts SB 350, BB posts BB 700

Pre Flop: (pot: 1,575) Hero has 7

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 1,540, BTN raises to 3,500, fold, fold, Hero calls 1,960

Flop: (8,575, 2 players) 5

Hero checks, BTN bets 4,288, Hero raises to 22,547 and is all-in

What do we think of this line?

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01-13-2017 , 08:40 PM

persianpunisher

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 2,818

64% Cbet(7/11). 100%(1/1) Cbet in 3-bet pot.

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01-13-2017 , 11:13 PM

zanardi1

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,589

Would flat flop, your line is heavily weighted towards draws since I suspect most pairs gii pre against a villain with high 3bet%, especially BU vs CO.
Might consider leading some good turns.

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01-14-2017 , 10:31 AM

LittleGoliath

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 3,921

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01-14-2017 , 12:42 PM

daviid

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 2,639

dont rly see any other option when we get there like this, so nh.

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01-14-2017 , 10:30 PM

Voodoo974

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2012 Posts: 565

Quote:

Originally Posted by zanardi1

Would flat flop, your line is heavily weighted towards draws since I suspect most pairs gii pre against a villain with high 3bet%, especially BU vs CO.
Might consider leading some good turns.

Hero is not trying to make villain fold a pair anyway. Even if villain knows we don't have a lot of pairs, he's not gonna b/c Ahigh that often, and we have outs against A5.

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01-15-2017 , 12:09 AM

persianpunisher

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 2,818

^ Yeah, I think I have enough equity against his calling range and I think he's c-betting often enough that he has a bunch of A high, and even some suited broadways that he has to fold when I shove(hands that are currently beating us). I can also play AA/KK, sets, and NFDs this way. I guess in these spots I assume a lot of people are c-betting like 100%, which might be a bad assumption.

But yeah I don't expect villain to fold any of his 99+, maybe 99-TT or a random 8 occasionally, but highly doubtful.

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01-16-2017 , 07:23 PM

Happyclam1

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2017 Posts: 35

I think that's the only play

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01-16-2017 , 07:28 PM

persianpunisher

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 2,818

As a follow up, what should hero do if he has 2 red Tens in this spot? Same line?

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01-16-2017 , 09:55 PM

#10

nomalice

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 1,653

Quote:

Originally Posted by persianpunisher

As a follow up, what should hero do if he has 2 red Tens in this spot? Same line?

he wouldnt have them in this spot as they should be 4b shoved pre

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01-16-2017 , 10:28 PM

#11

persianpunisher

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 2,818

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomalice

he wouldnt have them in this spot as they should be 4b shoved pre

Thought I was a deeper. JK.

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01-16-2017 , 11:59 PM

#12

jpgiro

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2016 Posts: 1,439

I like it. Even if villain's only calling with premium spade draws and top pair or better you're going to have at least 30% equity. At 30% we need a fold 34% of the time for the shove to be profitable, and we should see way more folds than that.

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