Hello guys, would like you to help me out with this hand.
Havent played with villain before just have 24hands so not going to bother with stats. Villain playing highstakes, not optin on sharkscope 3.8k gamves ABI $360 ability 73 turbo % 57.9% ITM 22.9%, Russian Federation, Early bust %10.8%.
Folded once to him on flop when i cbet and he minraised my cbet on a dry board, other than that no other info.
Playing around with flopzilla I gave him a flatting range of AA-QQ,AJo-ATo,KQo-KTo,QJo-QTo,AQs-A9s,KQs-KTs,QJs-QTs,JTs. I think he will trap most of his monster with the BB being shortstack and more on the active side.
As played I dont like my river raise, because I am repping very thin, basically just 9x, and his range consists of a lot of Qx and overpairs, while other part of his range would just check back.
When I cbet flop I dont think he folds anything, he obviously calls his value range and floats all other non pair broadways which add up to half of his range, so I think my mistake here was not cbetting the turn like 2/3pot and taking it down, because now I just give him a free river.
Let me know if my thinking/ranges/sizes are correct. Thanks.
Looking at this I think he is going to be pretty sticky here and I think giving up turn and trying to get to showdown is my best option. Since I think he will be pretty sticky here and might not fold his weaker Qs or turned pairs.
9x is almost no concern.
His range is pair heavy for flop but he does not have many combos > QK whereas if you tripple barrel you rep alot of combos > QK ( 67, 68, 98s,66,99,A9s,QQ,KK,AA. Maybe AQ+ random 6s we can have from this pos) so he has a hard time calling down with most of his range that calls the 7k on flop cuz we can cbet this wide.
But he wont fold much otr bs your sizing cuz he just needs to win 1/5ish and you don't rep much.