Quote:
Originally Posted by BurnzDK
Wp - I think call is best now. Its really hard for me to see many hands in his range that plays like this that beats you since your range is somewhat capped. It makes no sense for him to be overshoving a strong hand like this against a weak range.
I disagree (and have been burned by) this theory that the bet here is "too much" and therefore indicates weakness rather than strength. I've seen far too many such plays in MTTs where vilain has the nuts and still shoves, precisely because a smaller bet might induce a fold, but a shove might induce a call by a player thinking like this and also thinking that the reward for a correct call justifies the risk.
A second problem here is that villain may will have a weak King and be trying to use the possible straight draw as a semi-bluff to induce a fold from us if we have two pair or a stronger kicker for our King. I'd be more inclined to make the call if there weren't so many combos that beat us.