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2 FT bubble hands 2 FT bubble hands

02-23-2016 , 11:08 AM
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 1,500/3,000 NL - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

109$ 15k ACR

10 left, on bubb of FT. Limited sample w Villain, but he had shown to be pretty agro in small sample w a Flop AF of 3.0 and Freq of 75, ott, otr n/a yet. His shove was within a few seconds. Read too limited at this point to take this line ?

UTG: 122,261 (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 20.25, 3Bet Preflop: 14.71, Hands: 82)
CO: 184,213 (VPIP: 17.53, PFR: 16.84, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 97)
BTN: 225,044 (VPIP: 22.33, PFR: 14.85, 3Bet Preflop: 2.08, Hands: 105)
SB: 37,923 (VPIP: 16.79, PFR: 13.18, 3Bet Preflop: 7.94, Hands: 134)
Hero (BB): 56,464

5 players post ante of 300, SB posts SB 1,500, Hero posts BB 3,000

Pre Flop: (pot: 6,000) Hero has J Q

fold, CO raises to 6,000, fold, fold, Hero calls 3,000

Flop: (15,000, 2 players) J 9 Q
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: (15,000, 2 players) 7
Hero bets 6,886, CO calls 6,886

River: (28,772, 2 players) 5
Hero bets 10,885, CO raises to 171,027 and is all-in, Hero calls 32,393 and is all-in






Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - 1,500/3,000 NL - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Same FT bubb dynamic, thoughts here? Calling? If 4b, sizing ? Thx

BTN: 116,861 (VPIP: 28.92, PFR: 19.51, 3Bet Preflop: 13.89, Hands: 85)
SB: 130,149 (VPIP: 19.00, PFR: 18.37, 3Bet Preflop: 13.95, Hands: 100)
BB: 230,144 (VPIP: 22.64, PFR: 15.38, 3Bet Preflop: 2.00, Hands: 108)
UTG: 35,523 (VPIP: 16.42, PFR: 12.88, 3Bet Preflop: 7.58, Hands: 137)
Hero (CO): 113,228

5 players post ante of 300, SB posts SB 1,500, BB posts BB 3,000

Pre Flop: (pot: 6,000) Hero has Q Q

fold, Hero raises to 6,000, fold, SB calls 4,500, BB raises to 18,500, Hero ?
2 FT bubble hands Quote
02-23-2016 , 11:47 AM
hand 1 looks fine, you're plan was to c/r flop? as it went, i'd probably bet a little bigger on turn and river. unless you're trying to induce?

hand 2 need to iso. 4b/c to 31000 to keep the weaker part of his range in the hand. though he has a stack that might call off a shove with ATs or something like that.
2 FT bubble hands Quote
02-23-2016 , 12:07 PM
1) i'd lead turn a bit bigger like 8-8.5k. and more like half otr, yes we lack bluffs but not sooo badly when we will have A2ss-A8ss, T2s-T6, some Kx maybe.

riv is one of those spots where he reps nothing so i don't expect bluffs v often in vacuum type spots where we don't have much hist. and he's never v-betting worse.

i calculate we need 28% to call and we only get to 23% vs. all of his flushes, 77, and AdTx combos, so i think it's a fold until we see some laggro/spewy tendencies from him.

2) i'd jam
2 FT bubble hands Quote
02-23-2016 , 02:28 PM
Hand 1, you need to be setting up a river jam with your turn size. Turn and river are misplayed.

Hand 2, jam.
2 FT bubble hands Quote
02-23-2016 , 02:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gregz41
Hand 1, you need to be setting up a river jam with your turn size.
Vs what calling range??
2 FT bubble hands Quote
02-23-2016 , 02:45 PM
Weak Qx, Jx, 97, J7, Q7 etc. Think how many bluffs you have that want to bet twice here and then think again about your sizing, when you lay villain over 3-1 both times.
2 FT bubble hands Quote
02-24-2016 , 01:20 AM
Hand 1 is severely underrepped and I feel that this causes villain to capitalize on this sense of weakness = call.

Ship hand 2.
2 FT bubble hands Quote
02-24-2016 , 08:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gregz41
Think how many bluffs you have that want to bet twice here and then think again about your sizing, when you lay villain over 3-1 both times.
Agree, I think this is a vgood spot for our bluff combos to lead ~ > 1/2 pot. Given the dynamic, w FT bubble, do we induce more here w < optimal sizing, than balancing our bluffs w our value into what is likely a very narrow calling range. But does our real equity in taking that line given ~icm considerations make optimal > exploit. That was my intention for the the thot of posting this spot
2 FT bubble hands Quote
02-24-2016 , 10:14 AM
Gotta get this in on turn/river. Either c/r turn (you say he has high af/seems aggro) or bet bigger on turn. I like c/r and jam river more in this spot.

2nd hand I don't see the problem easy jam now
2 FT bubble hands Quote

      
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