Quote:
Originally Posted by aiRpurifier
first of all it is 18k to 41k. made a typo i guess on my post, final pot is 41k vs opener.
%82 of the time, we are against opener. if he is opening with %20, we make 660 chips (0.3bb) everytime we shove vs him.
%18 of the time, we will be 3 way or vs overcaller. where we lose 1.6bb.
if you add up looks like -chip ev. if you want you can double check the math.
what is your 20% range? I feel like it has to be designed to be terrible for 55 for this to be accurate. I used something like 22,A2s,ATo,K9s,KJo,Q9s,QJo,J9s,T9s,98s (plus or minus a few don't remember exactly) against which we have 48% equity and win 1680 chips (.85bb) if all else fold. Your overcall # is slightly different than mine, but ignoring that, we get .82*.85-.18*1.6=.4bb. That's good enough for me.
If he's opening 20+ I think shove is best, 15- it's a clear fold, in between probably fold.