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| Midstakes MTT Discussion and analysis of midstakes MTT strategy |
07-11-2012, 01:47 PM
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#1
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banned
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 5,043
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$109 party, ace on the river
V is 13/11/0 (76 hands). Breakeven at $70 abi.
It`s 2nd time I open. 1st one I won uncontested.
PartyGaming - $100+$9|20/40 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
Hero (UTG): 3,000.00
UTG+1: 3,000.00
MP: 2,870.00
MP+1: 2,790.00
LP: 3,270.00
CO: 2,890.00
BTN: 2,350.00
SB: 3,590.00
BB: 3,250.00
SB posts SB 20.00, BB posts BB 40.00
Pre Flop: (60.00) Hero has 8  8 
Hero raises to 100.00, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 80.00, fold
Flop: (240.00, 2 players) 4  7 9
SB checks, Hero bets 135.00, SB calls 135.00
Turn: (510.00, 2 players) 9
SB checks, Hero bets 275.00, SB calls 275.00
River: (1060.00, 2 players) A 
SB checks, Hero....?
Betting this river?
I think it`s all about narrow 99-JJ range which he can fold to 3rd one.
Do you think he c/c 2 streets with ATss+ readless?
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07-11-2012, 01:54 PM
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#2
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: with the wind at our stern...
Posts: 37,682
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
check back and I hate checking back
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07-11-2012, 02:13 PM
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#3
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banned
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 5,043
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
Quote:
Originally Posted by ssnyc
check back and I hate checking back
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Is it bc you think Ax is significant part of his calling range or bc he won`t fold better PP to 3rd barrel?
Last edited by Elephants_pride; 07-11-2012 at 02:14 PM.
Reason: fixed
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07-11-2012, 02:22 PM
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#4
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: with the wind at our stern...
Posts: 37,682
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elephants_pride
Is it bc you think Ax is significant part of his calling range or bc he won`t fold better PP to 3rd barrel?
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he won't fold better or call worse...I mean readless maybe we can get him off the JJ-99 but he could just as easily have the NFD and shrug call
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07-12-2012, 01:51 AM
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#5
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centurion
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 168
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
this river should make you lean away from thin value against a nit (if there is such a thing)
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07-12-2012, 03:10 AM
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#6
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Carpal \'Tunnel
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: near your blinds
Posts: 9,407
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
x/b
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07-12-2012, 05:01 AM
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#7
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deviation of equilibrium
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Germany
Posts: 27,373
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
if you break his range down he prolly cant call a ~1200ish bet OTR unless he gives us alot of tripple barrels.
since we have showdown value we dont need to do it, but i dont think its bad at all.
i dont like a smallish bet which he will/can shrug call with his Axss or very few overpair combos.
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07-12-2012, 12:54 PM
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#8
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veteran
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 2,869
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
doubt we're getting him off 99
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07-12-2012, 02:10 PM
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#9
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journeyman
Join Date: May 2012
Posts: 397
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
Quote:
Originally Posted by furo
if you break his range down he prolly cant call a ~1200ish bet OTR unless he gives us alot of tripple barrels.
since we have showdown value we dont need to do it, but i dont think its bad at all.
i dont like a smallish bet which he will/can shrug call with his Axss or very few overpair combos.
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i like that.. don't think he can ever call and over bet here
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07-12-2012, 03:56 PM
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#10
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banned
Join Date: Aug 2011
Posts: 5,043
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
Quote:
Originally Posted by doublesu1ted
i like that.. don't think he can ever call and over bet here
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Do you pay them furo?
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07-12-2012, 06:01 PM
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#11
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Pooh-Bah
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 5,359
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
Quote:
Originally Posted by ssnyc
check back and I hate checking back
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You and I are on the same wavelength today.
The AsXs makes me think this isn't as great a bluffing card as you might think it is.
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07-12-2012, 06:19 PM
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#12
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deviation of equilibrium
Join Date: May 2009
Location: Germany
Posts: 27,373
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
Quote:
Originally Posted by Elephants_pride
Do you pay them furo?
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what do you mean, troll?
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07-12-2012, 06:57 PM
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#13
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old hand
Join Date: May 2012
Location: late reggae somewhere
Posts: 1,300
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Re: $109 party, ace on the river
Quote:
Originally Posted by gregz41
The AsXs makes me think this isn't as great a bluffing card as you might think it is.
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This
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