Quote:
Originally Posted by 2pairsof2s
IMO her range here will really be Q/x and A/8, maybe 55, maybe A/x dd - J/10 dd, with a little bit of air and not much else.
Board: Qd5d8h
Robb’s range for UTG
Equity Win Tie
UTG 78.40% 78.35% 0.05% { 88, 55, AQs, KQs, Q8s+, AdKd, AdJd, KdJd, AdTd, KdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Kd9d, Jd9d, Td9d, Ad8d, Kd8d, Jd8d, Td8d, 9d8d, 8d7d, 7d6d, AQo, KQo, QJo }
BU 21.60% 21.55% 0.05% { 9d9c }
2pairsof2s range
Equity Win Tie
UTG 70.98% 70.93% 0.05% { 55, KQs, Q8s+, JdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, A8o, KQo, QTo+ }
BU 29.02% 28.97% 0.05% { 9d9c }
Your range basically eliminates ATs and 88 that are in my range, and that gives 99 a call, since we're getting 3:1. I do acknowledge the ATs/88 part of the range I gave her is somewhat unlikely given her limp. But I balance that by including some other hands that 99 is beating that are also unlikely preflop imo, such as Jd8d.
In reality, I made my range for her a bit looser than I truly believe, to give my friend the benefit of the doubt. He held the 99 and believed it was a clear call of the CR. If her true range is closer to 2pairsof2s range, we do in fact have a clear call.
She had a set of 5's.