DK has a $100 Q for the FBWC tonight... BR can't take $400 to get all our teams in... so gonna have package take 50% of them... that way we get upside and try to keep a bit of BR for a spin up if it goes poorly
Both monster teams on bubble...one has pitcher still going so that one is okay hopefully, other will need some help from Brandon Phillips in top 9 who is on both teams
DK kluber let us down and stacks fizzled out... Got angels one but that needs to get going
So I did some stat research for the package and its surprising and has me considering some other options
Facts:
1) Our average GPP score on FD is up 3.23 points from package 1
2) 24% ITM for GPP's and 56% H2H cash rate are both better than package 1
3) But still getting murdered to the tune of 4.1k in the negative (heading into tonight which was a $0 spot on DK so -500, and then had lost 300 on yahoo, 210 on feud and 120 on FD... so we are down 5.22k total
The score ratios from winning score in GPP's to the cash line is way smaller... the people playing GPP's right now are simply better than they were for the first 3 months of baseball season, and the edge is much lower than before... its like this in all the long season sports, fish dry out throughout the season so by the end only the best are left.
This is a long way of me saying that after Sunday I'm going to take a break, recharge for NFL and some small September baseball... so there are options for how to approach it
1) Can end package now and return money
2) We can go for broke Sunday, play big and give it a shot
3) Play a normal sunday and then end the package
Taking time off is good, I'm burned out from the day in day out grind for 3.5 months (prolly should have taken a break before now) and need to regroup and given the lower edge in the games now is the time to take it.
Sorry this package has sucked had some poor pitching breaks and just some favorites not score, the variance in baseball is so large lol
Also if i put up another package for NFL week 1 ($25 5 mil with 1 mil to 1st on FD just unreal) you guys will get no markup as an apology for this disaster show
What's the package roll at now? I would lean toward not going for broke if you feel burnt out. I noticed the same trend in my MLB post all star break and have taken some time off to prepare for NFL and PGA.
I vote end the package where it is and rest up for NFL
An investor (who I thank) reminded me I hadn't taken out a $500 cash from the $300 survivor that started before the package but ended after it
So the BR right now is $1722 which id round up to 1750 if we ended...
couple investors asked me to weigh in on which option I prefer... I think playing a full Sunday without shot taking is a fine option but I'd probably say ending now makes most sense
Since the package was scheduled to go to mid-August, I would take a week off now and see how you feel. If after a week you're still not feeling it, then close it out.
Since the package was scheduled to go to mid-August, I would take a week off now and see how you feel. If after a week you're still not feeling it, then close it out.
This seems extremely reasonable.
I hadn't necessarily thought about it in the way you mentioned... The fad / fish players busy as the season goes on. I noticed way tougher h2h in nfl in later weeks also.
Since the package was scheduled to go to mid-August, I would take a week off now and see how you feel. If after a week you're still not feeling it, then close it out.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ben1113
This seems extremely reasonable.
I hadn't necessarily thought about it in the way you mentioned... The fad / fish players busy as the season goes on. I noticed way tougher h2h in nfl in later weeks also.
Got an email saying i won a $300 ticket for the 500k tomorrow... i don't know when i won said ticket but obviously won't be taking day off tomorrow lol
