Think most regulars are perceived to have a showdown heavy range in that spot but won't want to value bet much of their range themselves so a check makes little sense. But he's also minning 29s oop so your guess is as good as mine.
Funny what a difference a day makes. At the end of the Sunday I was super withered and at one point I think I bricked something like 13 spins in row, which is a sad occurrence when you're playing 3-handed in each game.
Today I woke up fresh and energized for the grind and ended up crushing spins and SNGs, at one point winning 6 spins in a row. Also won a $25 6m hyper and got 4th in a $109 bowlcomp for a nice day of profits. Will keep biding my time and wait for a big score to arrive