Originally Posted by Monty604
how do you calculate your ev in 18s?
Originally Posted by wayneking7
dybboss is right. HM can not calculate ur $EV for games with more than 1 table. But ur cEV can still be calculated. so if ur cEV is more than ur actual chips accumulated then its a fair assumption that u are running good.
Exactly. You can look at ur chips won and ev chips won. also you can look at ur bb/100 and evbb/100. It will give u some kind of feeling if u run good or not but it obviously doesn't tell you the entire picture.
Other then this, nothing new under the sun here. Hard to update this thread when its going pure shut, but here is goes,
I'm still losing money but pretty confident i play well. Here are my results pre-rakeback filtered for games.
My main concern for my results aren't highstakes, aren't 9man, not hyper turbos or mtts, but 18man. This is the game i specialized in and now even if i filter away 200+ I'm at 1% return on investment at 98 cents a game. With highstakes I'm only up 5.7k in 18mans this year over a 11k sample pre rakeback.
I really don't know what to say or do about it, other then i don't understand what is happening after a lot of reviewing and talks with other players. Maybe one my biggest niches was that I did not play a lot and in this way could pull a very good ROI. This may be true but I don't feel like playing very if any different then before. Maybe I overestimate my edge as a 10k sample is starting to get pretty significant, having 1% when your trueROI is 4 or 5 isn't that likely i think (maybe someone can chime in for this with variance calculations?)
You can only blame so much on variance. I've decided to not look at my results anymore for some time again and if I end up losing my 5.7k 18man unfiltered 18man profits I will at least seriously consider quitting this chase and probably will do just that.
If for some reason I can't win money longterm (looks like it so far) pre-rakeback it is not worth it for me to go for Supernova elite and I rather grind out and relax a 60-100k year at low stakes and have a more balanced life next to poker.