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This will be my year This will be my year

08-15-2015 , 08:47 AM
Title is from a great song by Semisonic. It might or might not have any bearing on my results this year.

A little about me: I have played poker for more than 25 years now. I sucked really bad the first 10 years. I still suck but not as bad.

You can probably compare me to an athlete who is good in practise, but chokes under pressure. I have this poker mind that among other things tells me to fold in certain spots, but I usually don't listen.

Favourite grind music right now is: Time to pretend by MGMT. I have this on repeat for the whole session.

Goals:
Beat fixed limit 5-10 draw on Pokerstars
I can beat 0.10-0.20 now, not so sure about the others. 1-2 plays pretty similar to 5-10 on Paradise Poker back in the day.

Beat $8 180 mans on PokerStars

Be a winner at NL holdem cash games

Have a healthy bankroll

Today's goal is to win the $30 000 silver star free roll on PokerStars
So I have clear intentions but I will probably skip joining choice center
This will be my year Quote
08-15-2015 , 10:28 AM
I wanted a fresh start so at first I wanted to purge my old hands from my HM2 database. Turned out to be much easier to just create a new database. I can proudly say that after 4 hands of $2 no limit I am now a winner at that game
This will be my year Quote
08-15-2015 , 10:35 AM
25 years is a long time to consistently be bad, I personally do not think you should have deleted your database because it could of helped you learn more than you think you know already. To not be able to be a winning player after 25 years states a lot without even asking. I am not trying to discourage you but from the limited information you have stated it seems to be a mental issue, there are usually two reasons why a player cannot become a winning player: 1. Technical aspect of the game is lacking 2. Self-created mental barriers cause the player to allow degenerate tendencies to overtake and self-discipline to be ignored. What are you doing different this time around that you didn't do for the last 25 years? Again, I am not trying to discourage you, just trying to open up a dialogue on what may be the cause of not being able to become a winning player over such a vast amount of time. All the best.
This will be my year Quote
08-15-2015 , 10:55 AM
Thanks for the input. Now I never stated that I haven't been a winning player during all these years. For example I was a winner at 1-2 draw back in the day. But I have probably never been a long term winner at no limit hold'em cash games.

Anyways like most losing players I like to blame my losses on tilt issues and a lack of self discipline. There is probably some truth to that, but it is no secret that all the games have evolved and if you are no ahead on the learning curve you fall behind.

What I am doing differently this time is that I have resubed to a training site and I have installed tiltbreaker. And I will post a bit here.
This will be my year Quote
08-15-2015 , 11:52 AM
Today I learned that when you play a satellite on Full Tilt and 1st price gets a ticket and second place get a ticket you should not assume that they both get a ticket to the target tournament. Still I am lucky that it only cost me 0.50 to find this out
This will be my year Quote
08-16-2015 , 06:35 AM
Thought I would show you an interesting hand that I played and I would like to hear your thoughts on it.
    Poker Stars, $1 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    SB: 3,000 (100 bb)
    BB: 3,000 (100 bb)
    Hero (UTG+2): 3,000 (100 bb)
    MP1: 3,000 (100 bb)
    MP2: 3,000 (100 bb)
    MP3: 3,000 (100 bb)
    CO: 3,000 (100 bb)
    BTN: 3,000 (100 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with A 2
    Hero raises to 90, 4 folds, BTN calls 90, 2 folds

    My reason for raising here is that I am playing against xflixx grinding it up gang. I suspect them to be aware that I represent a strong hand by raising utg. I expect them to fold most of their range that has me crushed, A3 to A9, maybe call with AJ and AT and reraise with AQ and AK

    This is after some off the table analysis, at the table I just thought that they would play tight.

    Flop: (225) A 9 4 (2 players)
    Hero bets 90, BTN calls 90

    Turn: (405) 8 (2 players)
    Hero bets 120, BTN raises to 360

    Now if I remember correctly the guy was German. So I expect him to have some weak ace suited that he wants to get to showdown with, 89 that caught two pair, some sets and some air. Is this reasonable? In 2004 it would have been 2 pair or better
    Hero calls 240

    River: (1,125) 6 (2 players)
    Hero checks, BTN bets 510, Hero raises to 2,460 and is all-in

    Here I felt that he was probably betting for value. I thought to myself that I can get him to fold some of his stronger hands. Guess what happened?

    Spoiler:

    , BTN calls 1,950 and is all-in
    Results: 6,045 pot
    Final Board: A 9 4 8 6
    Hero showed A 2 and lost (-3,000 net)
    BTN showed J Q and won 6,045 (3,045 net)

    In my view it is to much to expect players at this level to fold their stronger hands. I of course never expected him to fold a flush, but maybe a set.
    This is just wishful thinking leading to fancy play syndrome.

    This will be my year Quote
    08-16-2015 , 07:24 AM
    My tournament results so far:


    My cash results so far:
    This will be my year Quote
    08-16-2015 , 08:04 AM
    in $1/micro buyins the heavy majority arent "aware" of much if anything at all. if this isnt a level lol you might wanna severely tighten your opening range(A2 off nowhere in the neighborhood) in early position(EP) especially when youre this deep stacked this early in a tournament for so many reasons. pretty obv youre lacking in patience, need to work on that too. GL
    This will be my year Quote
    08-16-2015 , 06:32 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by 4GET2PWNED0
    in $1/micro buyins the heavy majority arent "aware" of much if anything at all. if this isnt a level lol you might wanna severely tighten your opening range(A2 off nowhere in the neighborhood) in early position(EP)
    I would agree with you if it was a random sit&go on stars. But this is one that a pokerschool coach runs, so I think it is fair to assume that most o them will be tight fish until proven otherwise.
    This will be my year Quote
    08-16-2015 , 07:53 PM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by Aces123123
    Thought I would show you an interesting hand that I played and I would like to hear your thoughts on it.
      Poker Stars, $1 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: 3,000 (100 bb)
      BB: 3,000 (100 bb)
      Hero (UTG+2): 3,000 (100 bb)
      MP1: 3,000 (100 bb)
      MP2: 3,000 (100 bb)
      MP3: 3,000 (100 bb)
      CO: 3,000 (100 bb)
      BTN: 3,000 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with A 2
      Hero raises to 90, 4 folds, BTN calls 90, 2 folds

      My reason for raising here is that I am playing against xflixx grinding it up gang. I suspect them to be aware that I represent a strong hand by raising utg. I expect them to fold most of their range that has me crushed, A3 to A9, maybe call with AJ and AT and reraise with AQ and AK

      This is after some off the table analysis, at the table I just thought that they would play tight.

      Flop: (225) A 9 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets 90, BTN calls 90

      Turn: (405) 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets 120, BTN raises to 360

      Now if I remember correctly the guy was German. So I expect him to have some weak ace suited that he wants to get to showdown with, 89 that caught two pair, some sets and some air. Is this reasonable? In 2004 it would have been 2 pair or better
      Hero calls 240

      River: (1,125) 6 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets 510, Hero raises to 2,460 and is all-in

      Here I felt that he was probably betting for value. I thought to myself that I can get him to fold some of his stronger hands. Guess what happened?

      Spoiler:

      , BTN calls 1,950 and is all-in
      Results: 6,045 pot
      Final Board: A 9 4 8 6
      Hero showed A 2 and lost (-3,000 net)
      BTN showed J Q and won 6,045 (3,045 net)

      In my view it is to much to expect players at this level to fold their stronger hands. I of course never expected him to fold a flush, but maybe a set.
      This is just wishful thinking leading to fancy play syndrome.

      Playing A2 from ep is a mistake. Raising a bigger mistake. Playing it on the first hand an even bigger mistake.

      Your reasoning is flawed. Why are you concerned with trying to get them to fold better hands? Even if your reasoning is correct let's assume. You will be playing a pot out of position in a raised pot dominated with no chance of making any kind of cinch hand unless you hit trip 2's or 2 pair. Are you trying to steal the 45 chips out there?!?

      On that flop when you bet out are you expecting much worse to call you? What worse hands can call you and what better hands will stick around? More hands that are ahead right now are going to be in the mix.

      On the turn when you get raised you should be concerned. And not betting or calling.

      On the river you turn your hand into a bluff, which just doesnt make sense. How many times have you seen players lead the river and fold to a raise?? It happens very seldomly.

      Stick to play money instead.
      This will be my year Quote
      08-17-2015 , 08:01 AM
      Quote:
      Originally Posted by Rich Checkmaker
      Your reasoning is flawed. Why are you concerned with trying to get them to fold better hands? Even if your reasoning is correct let's assume. You will be playing a pot out of position in a raised pot dominated with no chance of making any kind of cinch hand unless you hit trip 2's or 2 pair. Are you trying to steal the 45 chips out there?!?
      No I am hoping for bb to call and then steal the pot from him on the flop with a c-bet

      Quote:
      Originally Posted by Rich Checkmaker

      On that flop when you bet out are you expecting much worse to call you? What worse hands can call you and what better hands will stick around? More hands that are ahead right now are going to be in the mix..
      A flush draw will call. Better aces will also call, mainly AT and AJ, but I expect to be able to get them of their hands with a shove on the river. Many will also peel one card with pocket pairs.

      Quote:
      Originally Posted by Rich Checkmaker
      On the turn when you get raised you should be concerned. And not betting or calling.

      I was concerned, but people do raise on air. When he picked up more equity on the turn I think it is a mistake to raise, since my strong hands that probably would pay him off on the river would raise him out of the pot

      Quote:
      Originally Posted by Rich Checkmaker
      On the river you turn your hand into a bluff, which just doesnt make sense. How many times have you seen players lead the river and fold to a raise?? It happens very seldomly.
      I agree with your analysis here.

      Last edited by Aces123123; 08-17-2015 at 08:02 AM. Reason: Grammar
      This will be my year Quote
      08-19-2015 , 08:50 AM
      I hate Ronaldo...

      This will be my year Quote
      08-21-2015 , 06:45 PM
      Just a quick look at my graphs so far:
      Cash games


      Tournaments:
      This will be my year Quote
      08-22-2015 , 05:14 PM
      Took most of the evening off to play a fantasy football draft. Thought it would be a snake draft but turned out to be an auction draft. I ended up with dollars left that I never got any value from.

      Anyways I just wanted to post how the graphs looks now:



      This will be my year Quote
      03-24-2017 , 05:03 AM
      Since I decided to move up to where they respect my raises I think it is time for an update

      Graph:


      http://imgur.com/a/cS0z3

      Stats:

      http://imgur.com/a/09rnl

      What's the trick to post imgur images? I just get a broken image when I try to post it as an image.

      Last edited by Aces123123; 03-24-2017 at 05:28 AM.
      This will be my year Quote
      03-24-2017 , 05:49 AM
      Figured out how to post images. Yay me
      This will be my year Quote
      03-25-2017 , 06:01 AM
      I knew I shouldn't have started posting in this thread again

      This will be my year Quote
      05-23-2017 , 10:46 AM
      I am switching to Spin & Gos. I have tweeked my ranges a bit, and will do a test run for 30 days. I am starting at the 0.25 buyin, eventhough I am profitable at 1´s but not 0.25's
      This will be my year Quote
      05-27-2017 , 12:22 PM


      Here are the results so far. Nothing to write home about really, but better than being down.
      If you know of any good material for spin & go's please let me know. Maybe some streamers to watch?
      This will be my year Quote
      05-28-2017 , 10:10 AM
      Invested in crEv today. I guess I am betting that it would have taken me more than 300 buyins to figure out how to play Spin & Gos without it
      This will be my year Quote
      05-29-2017 , 01:50 PM
      Ffs

        Poker Stars, $0.23 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2 Players
        Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37743051

        BB: 855 (28.5 bb)
        Hero (SB): 645 (21.5 bb)

        Preflop: Hero is SB with K 8
        Hero raises to 75, BB calls 45

        Flop: (150) 2 8 Q (2 players)
        BB bets 780 and is all-in, Hero calls 570 and is all-in

        Turn: (1,290) 5 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
        River: (1,290) 5 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

        Spoiler:
        Results: 1,290 pot
        Final Board: 2 8 Q 5 5
        BB showed 3 5 and won 1,290 (645 net)
        Hero showed K 8 and lost (-645 net)



        Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.
        This will be my year Quote
        06-01-2017 , 02:46 PM
        The results so far:
        This will be my year Quote
        07-06-2017 , 03:53 AM
        400 spins in, it isn't going so well. I guess it is still possible to be due to variance, so no neeed to panic yet

        This will be my year Quote
        07-06-2017 , 03:59 AM
        Quote:
        Originally Posted by Aces123123
        Thought I would show you an interesting hand that I played and I would like to hear your thoughts on it.
          Poker Stars, $1 Buy-in (15/30 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
          Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

          SB: 3,000 (100 bb)
          BB: 3,000 (100 bb)
          Hero (UTG+2): 3,000 (100 bb)
          MP1: 3,000 (100 bb)
          MP2: 3,000 (100 bb)
          MP3: 3,000 (100 bb)
          CO: 3,000 (100 bb)
          BTN: 3,000 (100 bb)

          Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with A 2
          Hero raises to 90, 4 folds, BTN calls 90, 2 folds

          My reason for raising here is that I am playing against xflixx grinding it up gang. I suspect them to be aware that I represent a strong hand by raising utg. I expect them to fold most of their range that has me crushed, A3 to A9, maybe call with AJ and AT and reraise with AQ and AK

          This is after some off the table analysis, at the table I just thought that they would play tight.

          Flop: (225) A 9 4 (2 players)
          Hero bets 90, BTN calls 90

          Turn: (405) 8 (2 players)
          Hero bets 120, BTN raises to 360

          Now if I remember correctly the guy was German. So I expect him to have some weak ace suited that he wants to get to showdown with, 89 that caught two pair, some sets and some air. Is this reasonable? In 2004 it would have been 2 pair or better
          Hero calls 240

          River: (1,125) 6 (2 players)
          Hero checks, BTN bets 510, Hero raises to 2,460 and is all-in

          Here I felt that he was probably betting for value. I thought to myself that I can get him to fold some of his stronger hands. Guess what happened?

          Spoiler:

          , BTN calls 1,950 and is all-in
          Results: 6,045 pot
          Final Board: A 9 4 8 6
          Hero showed A 2 and lost (-3,000 net)
          BTN showed J Q and won 6,045 (3,045 net)

          In my view it is to much to expect players at this level to fold their stronger hands. I of course never expected him to fold a flush, but maybe a set.
          This is just wishful thinking leading to fancy play syndrome.

          What the **** was this? At those stakes no-one would even fold 2 pair, played like aids from the start.
          This will be my year Quote
          07-08-2017 , 04:39 AM
          The hand converter doesen#t work, anyways here is an interesting hand that came up today.

          USD Hold'em No Limit - Level II (15/30) - 2017/07/08 10:03:03 CET [2017/07/08 4:03:03 ET]
          Table '1963210002 1' 3-max Seat #3 is the button
          Seat 1: Hero (665 in chips)
          Seat 3: EST.Saar (835 in chips)
          EST.Saar: posts small blind 15
          Hero: posts big blind 30
          *** HOLE CARDS ***
          Dealt to Hero [Jd 8d]
          EST.Saar: raises 60 to 90
          Hero: calls 60

          Villian had been tight, I am more interested in flopping a draw than a jack or an eight.
          *** FLOP *** [3c 6h 8h]
          Hero: checks
          EST.Saar: checks

          When he checks on the flop I assume he has two overs and no flush draw

          *** TURN *** [3c 6h 8h] [4h]
          Hero: bets 60
          EST.Saar: calls 60

          I bet since I believe that I have the best hand
          *** RIVER *** [3c 6h 8h 4h] [5s]
          Hero: bets 75
          EST.Saar: raises 610 to 685 and is all-in

          Uh-oh...A flush? But wouldn't he bet on the flop in that case? A seven? still the raise is so big. Many players would like to get value in that spot. I also think most people would bet a set on the flop, and those who don't would probably raise a bit smaller if at all on the river
          Hero: calls 440 and is all-in
          Uncalled bet (170) returned to EST.Saar
          *** SHOW DOWN ***
          EST.Saar: shows [Kh As] (high card Ace)
          Hero: shows [Jd 8d] (a pair of Eights)
          Hero collected 1330 from pot
          This will be my year Quote

                
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