Poker Update! Two Days!

On Monday night Stars went down for me so lost an hour there and posted some hands. Last night I also lost a bit of time as kids were playing up at bedtime and then wife had a crisis but did not lose more than an hour...

Graph (Two sessions)



I was hoping to get 3000 hands in but the gods said no.

Also I have not been sleeping well over the last week or so so I don't want to stay up any longer to catch time up as it is EV- imo.

I only slept 4 or 5 hours the last few nights which I can live with but don't want to go any less!

We had some excitement as some construction workers found an unexploded bomb from World War II near my work! (News link here​)

It totally destroyed the traffic in the city and made my drive to and from work more like 2 hours each way instead of one hour! On two days too!

Fortunately I live 25 miles from the bomb but my kids were still scared we are going to be blown to bits!!!

I did manage to fit in a legs workout last night but it was not a very good one as my kids wanted to be involved but it was already bedtime! We video recorded it so will show soon as should be a bit funny at least!

I have not got any muscle soreness this morning and that makes me sad! Maybe it will come tomorrow!!!

Help on hands would be great please amigos...



I really don't like this flop as my two pair feels a bit weak and I cannot get 3 streets of value, especially 3-way when I will rep a strong range by betting. Maybe I could XC flop?

Anyway I bet because there are some draws there especially pair + draw like AQ, AJs, ATs, KQ, KJs, KTs, T9s and 99 might call too. Also JT I beat. Maybe sometimes CO has KK???

Turn I felt similar. I can get some value again and feel that they would have raised some sets on flop and T9 too. I think all those hands could call again but probably not 99.

River I cannot get value. Only JT might call a small bet.

I don't think there are enough missed draws to XC, probably not any as they will not turn AT into bluff at micros.

He did bet only 0.5x so I need to be good 1 in 4 times. In game I was thinking "he would have raised sets and straights but he has QT and TJ that might bet small so call!!!".

Can you rip that apart for me please amigos!?

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Do you think I could make a small bet here (0.6x) to get value from Qx (although not many in range)?

Really appreciate this, thanks PL! I am calling all suited in BB MW so need to cut that out!

It's a pretty big myth that muscle soreness (DOMS) is a desirable thing after exercise. It's not necessarily good or bad, but it's certainly not true that the only workouts where you ache the day afterwards are the good workouts. Google something like "is DOMS good and you'll find some good reading.

If you have any health and fitness questions, the beginners thread in the h&f forum here on 2p2 is excellent for getting straightforward, no bull**** advice from people who really know their stuff. At the risk of invalidating my advice.... pretty much any thread on 2p2 outside of the h&f forum is awful for receiving advice on the matter.

I really don't know how to work this hand out!

When he X flop I think he does not have an overpair as most guys at 10nlz are value betting here. He can have AK, AQ though that I would like to make fold and I have tonnes of equity so I bet with plan to bet 2 or 3 streets, probably 3.

Then he XR me and I doubt he has sets just because I don't see guys 3b low pp's in SB very often so now I am thinking he can have like JJ+ and he always has a value hand imo (at these games).

As the pot is already $6.70ish and I have $9 behind with $2.20 to call it just seems to me easy to jam now while my equity is at its highest. Folding is not an option and if I call I might lose action on a spade or my equity decreases if I miss.

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​​She has $6.44 behind here so I should have just XRAI right???​ Like looking back this looks pretty bad to me to go $5?

Hi mate.

Hope I did not suggest anywhere that "only the workouts where you ache the next day are the good workouts" (for everyone) as that is pretty ridiculous if I did.

I just like them that way as it motivates me to get to that point and it also serves as feedback that I achieved what I set out to achieve in the workout.

Fitness/strength is not yet understood by the world's greatest scientists so reading anything about it at all has to be taken with a pinch of salt imo.

I am not sore again today in my legs so for me that work out did not achieve what I wanted. Kids!

Thanks for input as always Ron.

H1. Standard and nothing to worry abt this. Shove flop much better then call.
H2. Raise/shove the rest of your stack cuz you can rep missed draw and she gonna call you with any Ax

Hey again Chris.

Look, i think you've been getting caught up in the same fuss most people get.

"Trying to play way to advance for their skillset"

Meaning they try and play 25/19/9 and have no idea how to proceed postflop.

My best advice to you, if you want to make money. While its still possible in poker( say 2-4 years ).

Is to go down and play a much much tighter range, and just chase the fish. Expand your ranges when facing fish but tighten up ALOT when facing regs.

Theres plenty of fish at NL10z, i mean hello so just relax and let them donate.

Dont get caught up trying to shoot 3 pointers all the time when ur tall enough to just dunk.

GO EASY GL

AQs is fine

QTs river sizing is bad and just leaving money at the table, let's pretend that we were 300bb deep this should've been a much bigger raise than $5, so it's an easy jam with 100bb stacks. Default should be like 9-ish imo with the current river potsize plus facing this betsize.

​Week Summary

Graph



I was hoping for 8000+ hands this week but circumstances prevented it. Also I am playing a little bit slower preflop, as I think I can auto-pilot there too much.

Confidence is pretty low at the moment mostly as I seem to have dropped in stakes rather than moved up.

Still my redline is terrible and my BB win rate is terrible. Only my SB win rate improved over the last 6 months, every other situation dropped.

This is because I am in way more pots now than I was 6 months ago and my postflop play is terrible.

I will need to improve this to move up though so it is, hopefully, better that I get into these postflop situations and learn rather than avoiding them altogether.

I have not had much coaching over the last couple of months (for good reasons) but hopefully once June arrives we will get back into it and get my game moving forward.

Net profit (week) = +$5.62
Rakeback (week) = +$10.00

Total Profit (week) = +$15.62

500 day challenge total profit = +$31.95

Current Bankroll = $1048.75

At least it is some positive numbers eh amigos!

Have a great weekend!

TY ty ty!

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Ty mate, fair advice!


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TY PL, that is a good way to think about it, appreciate it.

Stop giving false hope. This thread is a train-wreck. How has hard work payed off here? He's still meh at bottom micro's in 5 years.

​Hi guys!

That was some weekend!

Had a stag party on Saturday night and although it was nothing special the alcohol consumption was well over the top!!!

Resulted in a wasted Sunday!

Looking forward to the wedding next Sunday. #notdrinking

I played a couple of sessions over the weekend...

Saturday



Sunday



​So yeah, more break even shenanigans. Which is actually better than the whole story for May...

May graph so far


​
Gross. I shouldn't even be playing 10nlz never mind getting my ass kicked!!!

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40000 HANDS IN MAY

This challenge will be ended today as I am going to be working late all week this week. Something came up totally unexpected so I don't know whether I will play any hands at all!

I will still be able to a little bit of study though but not much.

I was at 24739 hands with 21 of 31 days gone (67.7%) so I was 2357 hands behind. #feeble

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Have a good week amigos! I will pop in if something awesome happens!

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You said it yourself, but its incredibly obvious that you struggle postflop. Which is kinda strange considering you have experience playing & winning @ HU.

Your redline tanks constantly which suggests you constantly get blown off pots when you dont hit big, regardless of opponent. This should only really be happening if you're playing against a lot of maniacs.

Skimming through these pages & saw a few videos you've posted of hands, & was surprised how lost you sounded tbh. You painstakingly assigned villain's a range & calculated your resulting equity, but then had no idea how to go about playing your hand. These numbers are kinda useless unless you have plan for the hand.

Another hand I just saw from way back... the flop got checked through multiway when you had AQ on Q88 or something. Villain bet blank turn, you called, but ended up folding the river. This is worrying because it's a simple game theory mistake that even most beginners wouldnt make...you should know that having underepped your hand like this, you now have to call.

Watch any training video or any good player play, & they all follow a though process:

"I'm betting to get called by X, or to fold out Y, or to represent Z".
"I'm checking to make my hand look like...".
"When he calls he probably has...so I should continue betting on these cards.... or bluff catch this river,etc".

They also have a strategy for the hand. Eg)) "If I raise KJ UTG & he calls out of the BB, & the board comes 228 then I plan to double/triple barrel because I can represent overpairs & his range is capped at weak/middle pairs".

Thank you for this post.

You are exactly correct. I will be working on all the things you mentioned here and appreciate you pointing out these huge leaks to me.

Chris, write yourself a sticky note which says "DON'T BE A PUSSY". n.b. this applies to no other 10nl players.

Sent from my Moto G Play using Tapatalk

You could have a point mate but it is too cryptic for me! Have you been drinking?

#1 Realise that nobody has anything!

How?
- Look at database and see examples of where nobody has anything
- Use equilab and e.g look at a standard 10nlz reg button open range and then look at a cbet range (guess 60% avg) on lots of boards and VISUALIZE that indeed they have nothing (other than some equity (maybe). Yes Chris, they do not have top set every time.
- Continue above and look at a turn cbet range and see that wow, they do not have anything still (other than some equity (maybe))!
- Learn how to combat/defend against/attack this. Actually I know quite a lot of this but due to "Why #1" I think I don't do it enough (or at least chicken out too early)

#2 Remove fear

How?
- I will not remove fear by thinking "I must remove fear"!
- I need to use courage (remind self of Taekwondo fights and risking my house to buy more houses)
- Using courage involves doing the thing that I am "scared" to do.
- Using courage means making mistakes. Lots of mistakes. Realise that without making mistakes (and losing money) this is not going to get resolved. Resolve to MAKE LOTS OF MISTAKES FOR THE SAKE OF A BREAKTHROUGH.
- Share those mistakes because guess what? 1. Some of them might not be mistakes! Losing money/hands/getting caught bluffing/ is PART OF THE GAME!!! 2. That is how you LEARN!!!

#3 To be continued...

5 Hands Where They Had Eff All/Were Bluffing...


Note: I bet I was desperate to fold this...


Hmm...


Maybe I miss something here?


Bluffing v ME.


This could be okay by him, esp v me.

Conclusion:
Yes, not only do they bluff but they bet worse made hands (I dunno whether they protect or what tbh)
There were not many hands in my DB where I called flop and turn facing cbets (I left river action as whatever but saw showdown = yes) and as I don't float enough I can assume I fold too much. Holy ****, my FvCB flop is 59% and my FvCB turn is 50% hahahahahahahahaha.

GTFO Chris, GO HOME!!!

Yes, but sober me agrees. You're very scared of making bad calls and bad bluffs. Try being scared of missing a good call or bluff.

get aggro mate **** these guys. but if they are aggro vs you they probably have it at micros. do more hh with better okayers

I wouldn't be paranoid about that last hand where villain cbets his gutshot and barrels the turn. It looks fairly standard.

DON'T BE A PUSSY! (Part 3)

Let's Visualise Just How F.O.S They Are...

​Villains are c-betting flop a high percentage at my games.

Whether that is because they see "FML this guy folds to cbet 59%" or whether they do c-bet flop tonnes in general I cannot be sure.

My guess is that they c-bet at least 60% of the time and probably it is way more.

Here is a snapshot of a 60% c-bet range on J94tt if the opener opens 58.5% of hands (purely to help me visualise what it COULD be)...



So, for ME, I need to realise that there is a hell of a lot of crap in villain's range. Hands like Q5o with a 1 card BDFD, crappy gutshots like 87, 2 card BDFD's like 72dd.

Villain's range is wide and weak and just has to be exploitable. Somehow.

I need to stop folding!

To be continued...


Yes, thank you for comments mate. Thank you for inspiring me to go down this road.

Yes, I need to defend/attack them more. It seems that they actually don't "have it" though, or at least on flop and turn. My intuition says if they 3 barrel they might well "have it" at micros though so I need to figure out how to exploit that (call flop and turn often and over fold river I guess).

Yes, exactly the point. Thx man.

i would barrel the **** out of you on so many boards with your stats . the reason your folding to much is because you don't fully understand ranges.

fyi my cbet is around 75% ip so cbetting a lot is not bad at all

This is insane. You've got a 59% fold to cbet and you've only just discovered it? How have you not thought to check that before?

How did your coach not pick that up within minutes of starting to analyse any sample of your hands?

How are you now saying that you don't know how often people cbet.... you use HM2 right? Finding out **** like this is what it's for.

Yes, and rightly so. It is costing me money against 10nl players so it's obvious what a really good player will do to me.

"Don't understand ranges", yes, I need to get my head around this, ty.

Ah thanks for sharing that. I don't cbet anything like that amount which is probably 80% mental 20% lack of knowledge too.

Yes I brought it up before but I think there were bigger leaks to work on.

Not sure if he noticed it but we worked on my terrible SB win rate first and now we go to BB win rate.

I was not with my pc (with HM on it) when I wrote this so I used a guess for the purpose of doing that visualisation. Still, as I am looking into this I should know it, you are right.

In my experience people are stealing less than they should be, and I include myself in that, at lower stakes. I don't think there will be many regs opening a 58.5% range on the button or the sb at 10nl. I wouldn't be surprised if the average btn open was around 40 - 45% and maybe slightly less in the sb.

​​​DON'T BE A PUSSY - Part 4

​Look how much BS there is if a 25% opening range cbets ~55% on some random flops...

Flop 1...



Hmm, gutshots, 1 card BDFD's. Lot's of WEAK HANDS.

GET THIS IN YOUR THICK SKULL!!!

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Flop 2...



Same. Loads of weak hands.

GETTING THIS YET CHRIS???

Stop folding and "DON'T BE A PUSSY"!!!!

Let's play some poker....

(Actually still not playing atm due to work load)
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As you can see it does not make much difference for the exercise I am performing.

Hi amigos.

Just realised that the poker month and the poker week is over!

I did not play for quite a while now due to working on a property that became vacant.

So I did not lose this week which makes a nice change!

I did lose over the month of May though.

I haven't got figures with me here but think I lost $40 at the tables and got $20 RB in May (will put graphs when back in the poker chair). Add that to April where I only won around $10 at the tables and $20 RB and it's all a bag of **** really!

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Not playing lately has given me extra time to think about things...

I said if things did not get good by April next year I will quit. I seriously hate quitting and especially quitting something I enjoy so much.

I am in a CFP deal that has gone backwards.

I play more 5nlz now than 10nlz even though I am seriously over rolled for 10nlz (probably for 25nlz tbh too) and I never even played as low as 5nlz before.

I/we are considering ending the deal. To be honest I cannot see much point in continuing. My confidence and belief is low and that sort of attitude makes it unfair on all parties.

To be fair to coach he is offering me tonnes of extra coaching but after 7 months together nothing has improved enough imo. Sometimes one just has to accept that it ain't gonna happen.

Anyway, I have a few days to consider my options on that so will think it all through.

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I'll leave it at that. Tbh I am just rambling some thoughts!

See you next week amigos! Keep working on yourself!!!

P.S. Everything else is perfect!