Had to make some pretty nasty river folds at 16z cus of stats/population tendencies, I'd appreciate thoughts on these two:
118) vs 1-tabling recreational, I think this is 77 or a straight pretty often? Problem is if he jams KT/QT otr, but given we block that I think we prob sigh-fold this one.
River:(77.5 BB, 2 players) A
BB bets 64.5 BB and is all-in, fold
Spoiler:
BB wins 74 BB
Hmm, sucky spot but I think here I would make crying call.
I mean his value range is pretty small.
QQ makes alot of sense and he might have AA or 77.
How wide does he 3bet from the blinds?
You can still beat AQ/8x and some lower flush combo's like TcJc/Tc9c...
I think this is a good fold. Suck to fold, but he has zero bluffs and since he's recreational has alot of AJ. I think QT is not shipping here btw.
Hmm, sucky spot but I think here I would make crying call.
I mean his value range is pretty small.
QQ makes alot of sense and he might have AA or 77.
How wide does he 3bet from the blinds?
You can still beat AQ/8x and some lower flush combo's like TcJc/Tc9c...
Anyway, good luck with the grind
Yeah, I agree on the first one. The 2nd is pretty dirty. Think we only beat KTcc T9cc, but actually doubt they take a line like this. QQ/77/87s makes sense if he 3bets wide enough, small sample but 11% overall 3b so prob ~15 from the blinds, that gives him many combos that beat us.
Thanks, appreciate it!
Had two difficult days at the tables, played two too long sessions where I started to get annoyed but didn't want to quit. I still have this big problem where I hate booking losing sessions so try to play on and get out of the hole, getting somewhat better at quitting tho.
123) vs 2p2er, it depends on how he constructs his ranges but considering it's BB vs UTG I'm pretty happy with this calldown knowing he is capable of bluffing off stacks in spots where many regs aren't.
124) reg w nitty stats overbetting river, call/jam obv depends on what he checks back turn w, but have def seen regs bad enough to check back T8/KT ott, and I don't really see him x'ing back 99/77/44. Weird spot.
Back to running good for the day, +4 BI in 1k hands. Feels like I'm playing much better after having that time off, so I might take some shots at 100z again in a couple weeks, if I keep up with the results at 50z and I still feel good about my game
Took a shot at 100z late night yesterday and lost 3.5 BI, not the greatest session I've played but was some runbad in there as well. Today only played two sessions of 50z and made some $ back.
128) felt it coming, vs aggro callhappy reg w 35/39 wtsd/w$sd
River:(103.36 BB, 2 players) 9 Hero bets 89.21 BB and is all-in, CO calls 83.19 BB and is all-in
Spoiler:
Hero shows A K (Two Pair, Aces and Fours)
(Pre 46%, Flop 0.1%, Turn 0%) CO shows 4 4 (Four of a Kind, Fours)
(Pre 54%, Flop 99.9%, Turn 100%) CO wins 267.24 BB
129) linecheck 200bb deep? Small sample on the guy, defend BB vs steal 7/14 times w 0% 3b, fold to flop cb 20%
H2) You have gutter+nutFD and you can't call with many FDs on turn vs. his sizing so you don't have much flushes on your range at the river, right? Which means once you hit you will get value time to time frequently enough.
H1 looks good
H2 might be a turn fold. The 4 helps, but his sizing sucks. I doubt we are getting enough value when we do hit.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kiljusieppo
Imo both hands wp.
H2) You have gutter+nutFD and you can't call with many FDs on turn vs. his sizing so you don't have much flushes on your range at the river, right? Which means once you hit you will get value time to time frequently enough.
Gl Panda
H1) Yeah I think he should have decent amount of Ax that will sometimes call down, just unfortunate to run into that one of very few combos that beat us.
H2) Yeah I'm with Kiljusieppo on this one, odds are good for calling turn with our hand so can't see myself folding this tbh, implied should be pretty good as well. I expected him to size down a bit otr with 160bb behind, but vs that size there's not much we can do.
Todays graph feels fairly accurate about the quality of my game today. Played poor the first 700 hands, took a break then climbed back and booked +2 BI in the end. Prob taking another shot at NL100 soon if I still feel good. Let's do this!
Weird graph incoming, started out at 50z with absolutely nothing happening for 300 hands, then won 2 BI and decided to take a break. Next session wanted to take another 100z shot, won a stack fairly quick then lost a lot of pots in the next hour (38 wwsf ) before finishing with the first hand underneath #rungoodcameback
fold, fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 8.1 BB, SB calls 7.6 BB, fold, CO calls 5.6 BB
Flop:(25.3 BB, 3 players) K 4 A SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets 13.63 BB, SB calls 13.63 BB, CO raises to 107.14 BB and is all-in, Hero raises to 115.07 BB and is all-in, SB calls 101.44 BB
Turn:(362.58 BB, 3 players) 5
River:(362.58 BB, 3 players) Q
Spoiler:
SB shows 7 8 (High Card, Ace)
Main Pot [346.72 BB]: (Pre 37%, Flop 31%, Turn 26%)
Side Pot#1 [15.86 BB]: (Pre 43%, Flop 33%, Turn 26%)
Hero shows A K (Two Pair, Aces and Kings)
Main Pot [346.72 BB]: (Pre 43%, Flop 60%, Turn 69%)
Side Pot#1 [15.86 BB]: (Pre 57%, Flop 67%, Turn 74%)
CO shows 4 A (Two Pair, Aces and Fours)
Main Pot [346.72 BB]: (Pre 20%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
Hero wins 360.08 BB
131) exploiting unknown MP's river betsize, or clicking buttons idk
Ako is clicking buttons, pretty sure you would bet most fd's otf, even the pair+fd.
Lol @ 99 vs the russian
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Yeah prob right about flop, but don't think it's that bad when unknowns/1-tablers go 1/2 pot otr on these kinda boards w thin hands, I think we have lots of fold equity. Previous streets shouldn't matter that much vs recs who only play their hand strength.
Be careful still, when doing those river jams vs 2ppl. Jamming 100bb into 40bb pot, it has to work very often.
Part of that's just me being a mid stakes reg, where everything has to make sense.
You can and should go lol explo at 50-100nl
Back to 50z today, think my game quality was just ok but still booked a win which is always nice. Up 22 BI over 18k hands at 50z this month, let's finish the month strong!
I don't understand the flop bet. Aren't QQ-TT all fairly obvious checks, or is there something special about this villain, this texture, or the size you chose?
His turn check back seems wrong too. Weird reg indeed.
Not sure how good my logic is, but I'd prefer to bet at least QQ-JJ some times otf to get called by his draws, don't think this flop texture hits him particularly hard w made hands, we block KQ, AK mostly 4bets pre plus 2pairs/sets are pretty few combos of the range he (should) call 3b with. Flop bet might be the easier way of starting out the hand postflop tho and not necessarily the highest EV.
Yeah I don't like his turn check at all, but sometimes regs just doesn't pull the trigger.
Happy to only lose $66 yesterday, received some nasty coolers vs whales plus made too many mistakes in turn/river spots.
135) spewmode engaged should obv just barrel turn+river as a default. Don't think it's that terrible tho, biggest problem is he snapbet turn when I checked to him again which should ring some bells
136) experimenting with non-std lines lately, I don't think many 50z regs are going to balance turn probe+xr rivers so this should be pretty bluff heavy
Last two days have seen some bigger variance at 50z but still doing fine for the month, winrate dropped under double digits now tho, 8.55 Somewhat lost my foldbutton a bit lately, and had some sessions where W$SD when call river was like ~20%
139) Reg shouldn't have much boats but at the same time not sure what he's bluffing/turning sdv into bluff here? Think it depends how good he is, I thought at the time that this is a good river for ovb jamming when checked to so when he ends up choosing that sizing it puts my overpairs in a tough spot
Looks like a simple fold (not checked results).
MP flatting range is narrow. Ahi, even Khi can take the showdown.
He can have qq+ as well. When we check its quite exploitative. Would be betting w top of our range for sure.
So I think thats a spot where he doesnt need to bluff wide. Also he calls flop 3w and continues ott.
I think hero can have some missed gs's that dont fire that specific river, hence taking the showdown
Looks like a simple fold (not checked results).
MP flatting range is narrow. Ahi, even Khi can take the showdown.
He can have qq+ as well. When we check its quite exploitative. Would be betting w top of our range for sure.
So I think thats a spot where he doesnt need to bluff wide. Also he calls flop 3w and continues ott.
I think hero can have some missed gs's that dont fire that specific river, hence taking the showdown
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Yeah thanks, makes sense.
Today was nice, just gotta work on upping volume a bit Month up over 1k again w rb, happy with that considering I've only played 40k hands and 10k of them was toying around at 16z.
Just played a 5 hrs session of HU w/o breaks and ended down -4 BI. Not the best plan as it's pretty hard making decisions almost every second for such a long time, but I enjoy HU a lot so tend to play longer sessions there than 6m. #friedbrain
140) vs reg, pretty nice runout to be bluffing. Eff stack otr is 71, so should prob size turn a bit better