Almost final 3 but not quite!
So as others have mentioned I did get eliminated today after we made the money. Paul Volpe on my direct left led to me being very very handcuffed. Not only is he a great player but his style led to him absolutely ABUSING the bubble. Early in the day it folded to my button and I opened A8o to 12K. Paul made it 30K and I had to sit there and think for a bit. A few things to consider:
1) Paul can pretty easily have any two here.
2) We are about 10 from the money and I cover probably over 20 people.
3) I am just starting to realize that Paul is not going to be taking any hands off. Some players who abuse the bubble do so in a way where they'll occasionally fold bottom of the barrel hands, just so that it isn't super obvious that they are completely taking advantage of the situation. Not Paul. He's so supremely comfortable with his postflop game that he almost dares you to 3 or 4 bet him and you're not going to be getting folds.
4) That being said, I wasn't sure how he'd react to a 4 bet at this point, but he's obviously more than capable of 5b jamming on me. I start the hand with about 45BBs so my 4b would still leave me room to fold.
5) Maybe 4 betting to 72K and folding to a shove at least sends the message that I will not just be laying down to die when he 3 bets me. Maybe it is important to get that message out there, even if the 4b is slightly -EV.
I tried to weigh everything in the 30-45 seconds I took thinking and eventually elected to fold. I guess calling isn't CRAZY but I don't really like it as A8o does not flop well.
Paul went on to play 90/80/70 for the length of the bubble. I'm not exaggerating, those numbers might be dead on. At one point he might have won 20 hands in a row. The closest spot I had was when I opened AJo from MP and Paul 3b me again. It was then that I realized completely that I would not be able to open a hand unless I was willing to play for stacks. I folded and he showed me KK. Unreal that the closest spot I had he actually had it. Really fortunate for me that I chose to shy away from that one.
After a pretty lengthy bubble I had 175K or so halfway through 3K/6K. I played 2 very frustrating hands against Anthony Spinella, who had just sat down on the other side of the table and was the only player giving Paul any resistance. In the first, UTG shoves for 9K at 3K/6K (he'd just lost a big pot). It folds to me in HJ and I raise to 23K with AsQx. Anthony takes his time before calling from the BB.
Flop comes KQ4ss and we now have an interesting 38K in the main pot and 28K in the side. We both check.
Turn is the Ac. Anthony checks, I bet 20K and Anthony calls. I'm not sure what sizing is correct with this dynamic. I decided to go somewhat close to the full amount of the side and about a third of the total pot. Maybe I can go bigger but I think I have a lot of Ax in my range and I don't want to fold out his Kx or Qx. I also want to get 2 streets from his Ax.
River is the worst card in the deck in the form of the Ks. Anthony leads 32K which is soooooo irritating. If he ever has Ax then folding the chop really sucks, but in reality this is never a bluff. I'm probably supposed to fold but I call and get shown K7hh. Strange. I'm under 100K.
Fortunately the next couple orbits go well. I shove A8s in SB and Paul starts doing live pro bull**** that I almost fall for...he squeezes his first card, a 10, then laughs along and invites me to take a peak at the 2nd. I realize it's probably not in my best interest to be giving off whatever live tells I have to the GOAT so I laugh along but cover my eyes with my hands and tell him to let me know when it's over. Honestly I think he's great for the game; he was incredibly friendly to me, found a way to let people have fun despite the fact that he was trying to literally win every pot, and overall just had a fun demeanor to him. So he then verbally tells me he has paint and I just keep my eyes closed until I hear that he has folded. Later the button has 90K and opens to 20K, I find AQ and shove SB and button hems and haws and folds which is just unreal. He even showed an ace. Good lord.
I shove 16BBs UTG1 8 handed with KQs which gets through and all of a sudden I'm over 150K again. I find JJ and open bigger this time since Anthony is in the BB and likes to peel. He peels and flop comes Q65dd. I check back. Turn is a 8x and he leads. I call. River is 9d and he bets something like 1/4 pot again. He had set up a river shove with his turn bet and now he bets very small. I again took a long time for a somewhat small bet because I just don't think he's ever bluffing, but if he is just 20% of the time I need to be calling. Eventually I fold given how easy it is for him to have a 2 pair, straight, or flush combo and how little hands there are that can be bluffing. He insists he had the king of diamonds and was hoping I'd shove over him. Shrug.
At some point I have 140K in the SB at 4K/8K and it folds to me. Paul informs me he hasn't been walked in a while and I tell him I'll see what I can do. I squeeze J8dd and decide to try a limp. I know that Paul will often just go ahead and blast away but the fact that I have been walking him multiple times today makes me think there's at least a small chance this looks like at trap. Worst case he goes big and I just lose an extra 4K trying to win the 20K in the middle. Paul checks.
Flop comes KJ6cc and I c/c 10K. Turn is 6x and I c/c 25K after some thought. I know there is a good chance Paul will empty the clip and set me in for my last 95K or so (he's set up a slightly less than pot size jam for river) but I think most of his Kx is raising pre and a weak king or a random 6 are all that beat me here. I also think he sometimes checks back a 6 on flop and sometimes checks back a king on turn, so it's definitely not a fold yet, and I decide I'm just going to try to soul read Paul Volpe on the river if he shoves. River is an off suit 10, we both check, and I win the pot.
With 30 left they move Volpe to another table and I have been reduced to 10BBs. I think the JJ vs Anthony actually came after the J8 vs Paul. Our table was set to break at 27 anyway. Damn you randomness! A very interesting dynamic has begun now though that Frank P has sat down. Frank P is a senior citizen who is clearly an Italian New Yorker and an amateur. He is fun to talk to and does things like almost muck his hand after shoving all in for 4x the pot. Frank P is the kind of guy you want at your table with 30 left in a $2700 poker tournament. Frank P likes to limp but sometimes raises preflop as well. I imagine the limps are any two and the raises are good hands. So, after getting a shove of 67K through at 4K/8K with J8s from EP 7 handed, Frank P limps UTG, SB completes, and I look at K9o in the BB with about 85K total. Checking is clearly fine here, but I legitimately think I am ahead of Frank P's range. I have a little bit of fold equity but I think Frank is raising 99+ and AQ+ and limping just about everything else. So I shove. Frank P calls quite quickly and SB folds while saying "I knew it." Frank P has ATo and I will need to hit to remain in the tournament. There is a lovely king in the window with a pretty decent jack and four behind it. Turn is a 2 and river is an ace and just like that the KJ42A runout confirms I have been eliminated in 29th place for $6754.
I had a hell of a time with this tournament and have never felt the way I did on day 3 today. I was excited and focused at the same time. I was relaxed and chatting but only giving away what I wanted to give away. I dealt with arguably the best player in the world on my direct left with the chip lead on the bubble and felt pretty confident in everything I did. I'm very aware of the amount of run good I needed to make day 3, but also quite aware of how I actually ran today. Despite what I consider to be a below average amount of luck (or whatever you want to call it), I think I battled pretty hard to give myself a shot with 30 left. At the end of the day I'm holding my head high and getting ready for the next one.
For now though I'll be going bowling with my roommates. Saturday I'll be at a party with friends, and I'm going to commit to playing online tomorrow and Friday. Time to get back on that grind. Thanks to all for the support throughout this tournament!
My face when the GOAT is on my left and just won't stop:
http://summerpokeropen.blog.theborga...iel-Sewnig.jpg