Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right

10-21-2016 , 01:55 PM
Have we played together in ongame ? did u play there last 3 years ?
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-23-2016 , 06:05 PM
Agree sundays are absolutely overrated but not because of them being tougher (they probably are in the late game but it's kinda offset by the early game being much softer).

The real problem is the field size. People have absolutely no clue just how huge of a deal field size is. Good ****ing luck capturing your EV in 2k+ fields.
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-23-2016 , 06:11 PM
Quoting this from the MTTSNG variance thread. The standard deviation already gets insane for 180mans. Try picturing what it is for the milly.

Quote:
Originally Posted by BaseMetal2
I don't think you can really get much accuracy on 180 results for most people.

As a rule of thumb it takes about 12 times as many 180 results to get the same roi confidence level as 9 seat STTs. 5k games isn't all that accurate for STTs so 5 x 12 = 60k also isn't all that good for 180s!

For 30k games with about 9% rake and about 10% roi the 90% confidence interval is +/- 4.9%.

Every time you increase the number of games by 4 you half the confidence spread so CI of 30k x 4 = CI of 120k = +/- 2.45%.

The (10% roi) 90% CI of 2.5k is +/- 17.12%
so
The 90% CI of 10k is +/- 8.56%
The 90% CI of 40k is +/- 4.28%
The 90% CI of 160k is +/- 2.14%

It doesn't matter very much about the roi size the 90% CI's will still be roughly the same so for a 0% roi 90%CI for 160k games is still about +/- ~2.14, it is actually +/- 2.02%. The 90CI spread gets just a little larger as your roi goes up (because the variance raises very slightly with roi).

This shows that if you make a change to your game it would take many many, many, thousands to be confident of it being an improvement if judging only by your roi. These, and all MTTs, are quite tough games to play.

Oh and it doesn't matter over the speed, the CI will be the same for the same number of games played regardless of turbo, normal or hyper.
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-26-2016 , 07:11 PM
Cool stuff, thx!
And yeah, subbed

Enviado desde mi ALE-L21 mediante Tapatalk
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-29-2016 , 11:22 PM
made ft of a livebird with 28k up top. 8/10 with 417k bb20k (a few more mins, then bb24k)

pretty sick stack setup, 7 guys <600k. two guys 2 mil, one guy a millball.

played lots of interesting hands today, will post them later. think I played fairly well overall. theres gonna be an 'amateur' live stream too for those who would care haha. VAMOS
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-30-2016 , 08:00 AM
vamooooooooooooooo
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-30-2016 , 09:39 AM
Obv when I don't have action, gl thoughhhhhhhhh
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-30-2016 , 09:58 AM
oh i dont have action?

NEVEME
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-30-2016 , 02:12 PM
Meh 9th, was not my day at all.

R/f kjo once with 18bb, got 2 calls and x/f t86 board. After that it was a matter of surviving. Was terribly cartdead. Got like 4 first in spots where I would be shoving 40% at least but always got dealt the inevitable 63o t4o j3o etc hands. Evt jammed last 6 bigs with Ac2x vs kq to get up to 15bb again but board ran out q84ccc 3 7 #toomanyouts

Payouts were very topheavy so don't really care whether I finished 6th or 9th anyway, but I'm more dissapointed with my card distribution and that I was basically cartdead from start till the end. Oh well, didnt make any mistakes and just had very bad luck. Was a fun experience tho. Longer report will follow xx
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-30-2016 , 03:01 PM
GG man, as longs as u played without mistakes all`s good..Keep up!
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
10-31-2016 , 10:36 AM
Not sure I played without mistakes, but don't really regret many decisions I made, so can't be very unhappy with overall result. Just wasn't meant to be. Too bad bc level of play @ft was pretty meh throughout, but oh well.

So lateregged the tournament in bb600 starting stack 50k, basically doubled after 3 hands against what later would turn out huge whale. Open TT 1500 got call from btn. flop T78r 2k/5k/12k/call turn 2c (brings bd flush opportunity) and I rip slightly over pot got the call from A9cc and held. Win a few pots where I bust shorty A7hh vs JJ on t72hhx and win decent sized pots with 55 vs 32o (blind duel, he limp/calls 3.2x pre) on K6258 and 98s on JTxx7 to quickly get up to 190k in bb800. Lost small flip with aq vs TT vs padjes, but then won another big flip with ak vs qq and we have 230k bb1k lol. Pretty insane start, everything very standard too.

Then got moved to a new table for the last 3 levels, which was quite reggy, and I end the day with 220k bb2k. was one semi-interesting hand vs reg where I open Hijack with AQcc to 4.5k and he 3bets from the sb to 13k (100k eff) I peel and its get checked down to the river board was t963t (fd on flop or something) he bets river 23k I tank for quite some time but released my hand. Thought he would bet most of his bluffs either on flop & turn, and most likely has some kind of valuehand like a ten he checked twice, or like sometimes a weird nine. Like the only blufs he really had on river were like his A4s A5s A7s A2s type of hands I guess, and I blocked those quite a bit. He later told me he had aces, which is a pretty weird line. would def bet turn if I would not bet flop already, but sure. Anyway, day 1 was not very interesting, didn't get any tough spots and was just cruising.

Day 2 however was much more interesting. At the first table I was seated with a friend of mine, who is usually very aggro live, and I really couldn't get anything going. I folded for ages, open up K9o from cutoff, and obv get immediately 3betted etc. Did get myself in a few awkward spots though. Rather by the deck, then me misplaying them I guess.

First a very funny hand:

UTG 5.5k/friend calls Cutoff/I call bb 68cc (UTG 120k, friend 200+, I have about 190'ish)

Flop AA9ccx UTG 5k, friend folds, I call
Turn 3c Check, UTG 10k, I hesitate for a bit, very good possibility raising is better, but I call
River Qc I check, he checks back within 5 secs, so tabled my hand pretty confident, however he tables 99 (!!) and is mumbling something like 'too many hands beat me now a9, a3 aq'

My friend and I had a good laugh about that.

Then two semi-interesting ones:

Open 33 (170k bb3k) to 6.5k from Hijack, BTN (covers me, or super close)
Flop AJ5r I bet 6.2 he calls
Turn 2s (bd flush possibility) I bet 18k he calls
River Ts I give up, he checks back ATo

I think turnbet is very very good, river is fine to give up. Turnbet should have gotten rid of most of his Jx/floats already, and he was the kind of guy who would 3bet AK/AQ a lot, so is more weighted towards AJ/AT and those won't ever fold anyway. So yeah I think giving up is definitely fine on this runout.

UTG opens (same guy from the ATo hand) to 7.5k, 2 calls (MP and CO) I complete with QdTx with 135k eff)
Flop KJ7ddd UTG bets 12k, they fold, I call
Turn 3c UTG bets 25k, I have about 110k behind, really clueless. I think there are arguments for all 3 options. Woud love to hear some thoughts on this one.

Anyway, finally get reseated, and double up very first hand I sit down with aces vs 'KeyserMM' on a t467 double fd board vs his KT (he donked turn, and called off my jam then)

Win a few pots here and there, win a big pot with AKss right after dinner before the next hand takes place.

It gets folded to me in the sb, and my friend is sitting in the bb, we both have around 325k in bb6k. I look down at AKo and decide to limp, which is what I would do with most of my range vs him for sure. He pumps it up to 18k, I pop up it up to 56k, he makes it 108k, I'm not super thrilled but jam, and get snapped by kings. Ace on the flop however, and I bust him in a huuuge pot. I think the only way we were not getting it in, is if I was flatting his first 18k raise, or het flats my 3bet. Gross cooler, and was pretty sad it had to be against him, but **** happens it's poker so now have 650k in bb6k and we are approaching the bubble. I am among the chipleaders at that point (30 left)

I then loose a few pots around the bubble, which I am unsure about, they were quite similar actually, where I targetted specific parts of their range to fold.

First one:

I raise 18k 98dd utg1 bb8k, bb (the reg from the aces hand on day 1) flats 300k eff
Flop 655hhc check, 14k/call
turn 3c double bd fd check, 37k/call
river Ao check, 34k/call

I basically picked this sizing to make him fold out all of his flushdraws/78 type of hands, and bc I would valuebet pretty thin here (like maybe as wide as 77+) I think in hindsight should have picked a slightly bigger size though. I think 50-65'ish would have been better. Ingame I just felt like he would not fold many pairs at all, so his callingrange was gonna be fairly inelastic anyway, and I don't have that many valuehands that want to bet big since most of my Ax is checking back either flop or turn and he is not very capped at all. He said something like 'ugh, I am much stronger than you actually think I am, and you pbb valuebet worse' and flicked in the call with QQ.

Next one is very similar:

Open K9cc Hij (550k) to 18k, bb calls (loco old guy)

Flop J63ddx check, 15k/call
turn 2d check check
river 7d he checks his cards, and checks, I bet 27k

I think this is fine, targetting his hands without a diamond, and repping like a pretty weak flush.

I reach itm with about 490k bb8k, which was still a very good stack to work with. Table is being balanced, and we are now 9 handed again.

UTG opens to 21k bb8k (he covers me) I flat SB 88 (480k)
Flop K67ssx check/31k/call
Turn 9 check check
River T check 65k/snapcall he has QJo

Felt like biggest part of my ranges wanted to check, and he can pull some crazy bluffs now, and doesnt have much hands that call a bet anyway.

UTG (same guy from QJ) opens to 25k bb10k I flat JsTc from 360k
Flop AQ4ccs check/25k/call
Turn T check/check
River Q (fd bricked) taaankcheck/55k/I taaaaaankfold

Pre standard. Flop close, but was gonna bluff some runouts, and he likely cbets close to 100% on this board. River is a weird spot. Ingame I felt like I had enough sd value to justify checking, even though it's a good river for us. Like, if you look at your range, we can pbb start bluffing 6x & fd's, check Axx & Tx (we don't have many of those anyway, only KT JT) and bomb Qx+. Once he bets, I was very suspicious, obv we have a very very good candidate for a checkraise all in, however villain was a pretty big whale, and I was not very sure he was going to buy a x/rai and he most likely was not folding any trips, so took the high road on that one.

I then went on to pick up some pots again, and chipped up to about 600k in bb12k again, however there was a very very big whale who started completely going crazy and jammed at least once or twice an orbit with his 30bb+ stack, so it basically was a matter of picking up a hand against him. Once 3b/f KTs 35k => 95k utg1 vs Hij vs reg (still same guy from the aces on day 1) bc he was likely opening to wide, and thought 3b/f>>call with these positions. However, he 4b ripped AQ so had to fold, and was in the danger aka comfortzone then. Jammed and rejammed a few times then, and got up to 500k bb20k, when we were 12 left (play down till 10)

Shorty jams 180k, I reshove AJ and lose to his A3o so was short again instead of having 700k. Very next hand rip my KQs into the bb's aces, but get there somehow, so had 500k again. Then there is one more interesting hand

BTN (again same guy from the aces on day1) has heaps bc the whale just punted his 35bb stack by openshoving A3o on the btn and he picked up AQ and held.

BTN opens 45k/I call bb KTcc with 520k. I contemplated shoving since I would likely be printing €€€ too, but figured call was gonna be fine as well vs very wide openrange. Would def shove <450k. Flop is 864ccx check, he checks back quickly. Turn is ofsuited ace ugh, I check bc rangecheck ofcourse, He bets 150k (1.5x pot) and I just went from 2 overs + fd to a very very ugly spot. Really thought about all options but shrugfolded in the end and made FT with 417k coming back bb20k.

As mentioned ft was very dissapointing, in the sense that I never got to play any poker. R/f KJo from MP once with 18bb right before blinds went up to 24k, was very short from then on. Think r/f KJo is decent, good blockers, likely a bit too much to shove, and shove KJs+ perhaps.

One more hand stands out tho. 9 left, UTG1 asks how much I am playing and raises to 60k bb24k from 500-550k, chipleader 2 mil+ guy flats MP, and I am in the bb with pocket 44 and 290k. I felt like difference between 270 & 240 was likely not gonna be huge, and it was worth peeling, and trying to flop a 4, or reasonable flop at least (openender whatever), however bricked the board and from then on was on life support. Super cartdead, even in the first in spots I got I was not dealt a shoving/callinghand and evt busted my last 6bbs with A2 vs QK.

I am fairly happy with how Ive played overall though. I think there were a few interesting hands on day 2, which I could have played slightly different, but dont really regret any decisions I made ingame bc I thought my process was usually spot on. Too bad I didn't get an early double up at the ft, think I would have had a good shot then to making at least top 5/top 3. Actually had the idea of being very loose/aggressive on the ft bc the ft payouts were very steep but never got the execute that plan since I didn't get any spots. I felt fine busting tho, I mean it really was not meant to be yesterday, and whether I finished 6th or 9th, I would not have cared.

Sincerely,
Yours truly

Spoiler:


If anyone has some different opinions on the hands, please let me know. Always happy to discuss them.

Last edited by LittleGoliath; 10-31-2016 at 10:37 AM. Reason: excuse me for the tl;dr post papis <3
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-03-2016 , 11:56 PM
One tabled this acr timbey - that I never ever play, bc it's a super slow fo that start at 9pm CET and has 393484 levels of late reg - for hours, chipleading it basically the whole way, above 8hrs in I got showered in one orbit jj < tt & k9s , ak < kj , ak < tt in 20-something #neveragain


Last edited by LittleGoliath; 11-04-2016 at 12:14 AM. Reason: cya on sunday
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-05-2016 , 03:24 PM
Ha, ran prrrrrretty solid today. Outright shipped the b16 & 11bb, got 7th in 44bb & 7th in another bowl. Along with a few solid cashes (109 sko, b82, h82) this was quite a good day. Funny bc I rly had trouble getting out of bed when my alarm rang at 7am. Glad I went through with the initial plan.

Had a really fun hu in the 11bb, which was super important too. Because I sunrunned the **** out of that tournament, I had 1100$ and villain 200$ and payouts were 650-500 so was a massive hu. I started with 11 mil vs 1 mil, but villain made a sick comeback, and at one point even held a 7 vs 5 mil advantage. Fortunately I had built a few solid reads up until that point. Basically whenever he checked he had air, and was folding, didn't matter whether he had the initiative or not. When he minbetted, he had some sort of piece of the board usually, and when he bombed he had pure value. took me a bit of time to realize that, but once I did, it was gonna be very hard for me to lose that hu

Next to the obvious rungood, I also am very happy with my play. Ofcourse that is easy to say when you ran like god, but still very pleased with my performance, didn't bitch out on any bluffs, picked good sizings, had a few good reads bc I was paying good attention etcc

Spoiler:


my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-05-2016 , 03:37 PM
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-05-2016 , 06:44 PM
grats bro keep it going

my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-06-2016 , 07:26 AM
Niceee my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right

Enviado desde mi ALE-L21 mediante Tapatalk
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-06-2016 , 08:12 PM
Almost got them, but then someone was not able to fold toppair vs me, so did not get them. Cashed a bunch and slightly up, have seen far worse sundays.



#heartofalion #nomoneystho ^^
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-18-2016 , 08:45 PM
Have been studying a ton of poker lately, so very excited for the weekend. Gonna play an early session tmrw, and then flick in a big sunday session. Played a few small sessions earlier this week, without any succes unfortunately. In other news, it looks like i'm gonna be doing my internship and thesis first semester of next schoolyear, so most likely many pokers ahead of us in the first 6-9 months of 2k17 since I will only have one small course in that semester. I do have one more tough exam period coming up with 7 exams total though, so gonna devote a lot of my time to that for the next 2 months from december on. Hoping to finish this year strong.
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-18-2016 , 09:16 PM
lol i remember your name from pcm forums. GL sir
you study in gent?
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-20-2016 , 09:47 PM
ead ft bubbled 109bb.

also lost aa<qq for 1100 ticket with 9 left and 7 tickets for definitive ticket

my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-21-2016 , 10:57 AM
Saving the rungood for next week's live tournaments!
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-22-2016 , 10:47 PM
***** gold mine this thread...
Gl buddy keep crushing!
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-27-2016 , 09:01 PM
I know this is getting old but

Quote:
Originally Posted by LittleGoliath
ead ft bubbled sunday warm up



FMP

legit 6th time I go top 25 in the sunday warmup, never reached the ft. the brazil rfi 70 guy who is raising everything somehow has aces vs my ats hahaha
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote
11-27-2016 , 09:04 PM
umaddddd

in all srsness, feel your pain and hope you bink something nice soon!
my 2016 mtt pgc: doing things right Quote

      
m