Hand 15: Hero applies pressure.
Tight table except Villain, the guy to my left. During this hand, the guy receives his first card and says 'well that one's good'; he gets his second card and says 'that one's good too.' Older guy who recently doubled by playing ATC, then lost a hand with trips on a flush runout with ATC (not blinds. He had 49o or something).
Hero is TAG.
Hero is button with Ah8c
Villain is SB.
Effective stacks are 700
1 call, hero raises to 20, V raises to 40, only hero calls.
Flop: 6d7dJh (~85)
Villain says 'Just the two of us? Ok I check'.
Hero bets 45 V calls
Turn: 6d7dJhKh (~175)
Villain leads 100, hero calls
River 6d7dJhKh8h (375)
Villain bets 100, Hero raises to 300......
Summary: About 15-20 hands prior, villain gave the same line on the turn when he hit his 2 pair with 7-10, but the board was 7d8d9h10d. He says 'just the two of us, OK I check.'
I know his speech means weakness and he wants to get to showdown, so when he checks I try to take the pot down on the flop. My bet sizing was crap, I should have potted it.
On the turn, I decide that I can still win this hand on the river because I know he is weak. At this point in the hand, I have him on AK that hit, and AQ that bet the scare card and that's pretty much it. If he would have flopped the D draw, overpair, or tpgk, he would have led, plus I have the Ah, so his heart draw prospects are nearly nil. I'm planning on taking this pot down on the river. River comes in, he bets 100, and I have my second fumble in this hand where I don't put enough chips in. I raise to 300,
I should know that i'm not pushing this guy off his whole range in that pot with a 200 raise. In his mind, the chance that I have busted diamonds is too great. His range was capped at 1 pair and fishbluffs, I thought I could rep a ton of hands that go for value there, but his calling station-esque tendencies and my bad bet sizing on the flop and river screwed the pooch for me.
On to the next.