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HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even

05-28-2016 , 01:11 AM
Hmm. That is a weird spot but I think fold might be correct with zero info on opponent.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
05-28-2016 , 01:38 AM
Yes, I came to the same conclusion. I thought it was someone with AJ valuing thinly where they perceive me as inelastic because tbh my hand is basically face up. I don't have many 33/66 that calls down so i'm mostly AJ-. I got to see because of bovada and he had AsKQ4s (??). Pretty sure I can't call here long term tho because this kind of hand shows up so infrequently I think.

Also I settled on lopping off 6200 of the pp goal due to the volume I put in on the stake so i'm at about 5,000/10,000 till 200pl.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
05-28-2016 , 04:17 AM
That's quite the random spew.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
05-29-2016 , 04:48 PM
Awesome work my friend.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
05-30-2016 , 10:26 AM
Yea I think that's a good fold. Usually the player knows you have a jack there after calling two streets and is trying to get maximum value. That's wht I find at least. There are very few river bluffs I find among this player pool
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
05-30-2016 , 11:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by xazel
That's quite the random spew.
Quote:
Originally Posted by AllxDayxRay
Yea I think that's a good fold. Usually the player knows you have a jack there after calling two streets and is trying to get maximum value. That's wht I find at least. There are very few river bluffs I find among this player pool
My conclusions too.


Quote:
Originally Posted by ViktorLuis
Awesome work my friend.
Thank you, it's been a wild ride. Things are more calm for me now though, working on a few coding projects. I think it's fortunate that I feel content to play a game with a $50 big blind then a $1 big blind the next day otherwise this grind would be pretty tough to find motivation for.


Hand to start off my last session:

I (100bb) open HJ w/ AA5d8d flatted by CO (250bb), SB (75bb), BB (300bb)
Flop Ad 6c 9d, I bet 8.5bb, CO flats, rest fold.
Turn is 6d, I x/c 14.5bb
River is 7d, I check CO bets 29bb, I shove for 74bb and CO calls off with
Spoiler:
As Ks 4c Qh

CO chats: "go buy a lottery ticket"

Love it.

5230/10,000 poker points.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
05-31-2016 , 09:29 PM
That's a wrap on another session.

Bovada balance is at $7,250 with an additional $280 of bonus balance to clear via raking.
5415/10,000 poker points.

I feel like I'm outgrowing 100pl. There are very few spots I'm not confident about and my 3bet pot postflop ability btn vs LP is improving tremendously. I think the next area to focus on more is BB vs Btn when btn opens to different sizings, although this a much more murky set of problems to solve because people's postflop games vary so wildly and the software is anonymous.
I'm estimating equities razor accurately nowadays although the equity of A467 w/ a bdfd vs KKT8 no fds on a T56 was a surprise to me by about 10%. I've got a few fundamental Omaha ideas that are formulating as I've played my last 10k hands and are changing how I play certain spots, which is really encouraging because even tho I'm not using training sites I feel like my game is improving by leaps and bounds.

Feeling good!
712 days till graduation.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-02-2016 , 03:57 PM
so when are you going to start taking shots at 200 on bovada?
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-08-2016 , 09:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by icomefromchaos
so when are you going to start taking shots at 200 on bovada?
When I hit 10k poker points, that's my countdown.


So I just got back yesterday from a five day trip out to the series. Played some PLO -- 5/10/25 @ RIO, 5/10/20 & 10/25/50 at the Aria (main games), and 25/50 at the Bellagio with a brief late night 10/20/40 holdem session with some whales. Same feeling about Vegas, don't really like it.

Made a bad bet-fold in retrospect but otherwise very happy with my play overall. Solid A game. Ran pretty bad but both of us were happy all things considered. He actually offered me to come live with him in LA and grind live/online there continuing the stake. Dunno what I'll do. Apparently his main reason for breaking it off was he didn't want to do long distance. Hmm. I still could do my projects there. Maybe I should take the offer. I'd be doing mostly 25/50 plo @ commerce & online.

Also did a lol 1/2 session with a friend from school while he's here today. Was good to see him, he even reached out to me to come with him.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-10-2016 , 07:19 AM
Added 50-200pl on ACR depending entirely on toughness of the individual tables so I'm back to 10 tabling. It feels pretty comfortable which is surprising given how long it's been since I last did 8+ tables.

Poker points at 5,850/10,000.

I've got some goals forming in my mind. Originally I had some (what I now consider) very aggressive bankroll management plans:
"At 5k I'll add 100pl HU.
Between 8-12k I'll add 200pl HU.
Between 18-20k I'll 400pl HU."

Clearly I'm more of a bankroll nit now. Those guidelines are so naive it's actually a little embarrassing, but I'll just take satisfaction in knowing I've grown in my understanding of variance since then. I'm playing 100pl 6max with ~22k. I simply couldn't imagine playing 400pl HU with that same amount.
With that said, I think I'll be on track for 400pl around December... really entirely depends on how much adjustment I'll need to settle in to 200pl. When I hit (when not if lol) a roll of around 40k I'll start adding in 2/4. If I'm playing 3/6 and shotting 5/T by next summer, I'd be so so happy. Would definitely take a trip to play a bunch of 5/T plo on my own $ during the series if I'm free.

I may do some 2/5 live as a casino is 10 minutes away, but I think 10 tabling online for as high a % of my total poker hours as possible is the best course of action and reserving off-peak evenings at the casino for when I need to unwind and detox.

Here's to hoping I run at expectation for my next 30k hands as that'll make my journey much smoother. As I get further along, I'll make my plans more concrete.

I've got so much work to do in ppt's range explorer that it makes me unhappy when I'm out and about during my day without my laptop to run sims on. The knowledge is just too powerful to not absorb.

Also a chip stack pic from the last trip playing 10/25/50:
Spoiler:

702 days till graduation.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-12-2016 , 04:04 PM
6,300/10,000 poker points.
Had about 80 buyins of total swing up and down in the last 15 hours online, ~11k hands. Putting in volume like this is a world away from just 4x bovada.
Also had +580 at 2/5 live. Those games are so soft (water is wet), I just don't want to travel back and forth and sit with degens for long hours unless it's for larger amounts of $. Unfortunately I forgot and left my backpack in a 24 hour safe there last night so I have to go back today and I'll put in another session.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-12-2016 , 04:49 PM
This guy has got to be so mad lol. bet-called turn. Off to live.
Spoiler:

HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-13-2016 , 02:37 AM
Was stuck ~300 @ regular 2/5 and made a comeback at 2/5 deep for a net of +1.6k. That scores including chopping both a 1.8k 80/20 and a 4.4k 84/16. Never lucky.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-13-2016 , 04:24 AM
Played a session before sleeping and got absolutely abused tonight on the bovada streets but ACR went well. Maybe net 7 bi under allin EV on bovada (not -7 bi but aggregate equity difference). So so gross. It actually made me play a hand with top set incorrectly where I won the minimum with a bad line. That kind of thing will really bite into my winrate so I need to iron that kink out asap.
Also it's crazy how big bumhunters some of the regs on ACR are. It's making me want to join suit to chase that EV, but I haven't decided yet. Although I think some of them perceive me as dead money lol.

Funny to think that this awake cycle could have been a +7k day if instead of running like a 2/10 I ran a 9/10. Oh well, something something poker's a long game, something something. Get em next time.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-14-2016 , 02:19 AM
+1490 @ 2/5 today. Games were very good due to the NBA game.
Did an hour online beforehand, will do some more before sleep.

6,450/10,000 poker points till 200pl.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-14-2016 , 02:26 AM
Just had a lol hand.
Folds to me OTB w/ TT82ssdd, I open to 2.5x, whales in SB & BB call. Flop is As6s7c, checks around. Turn is Ad, checks around, river is 9s, sb whale bets pot (7.5bb), fold, fold.
Line check? What flush draws to check and which to bet? Why? B/f turn? As played fold river?
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-14-2016 , 05:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by XFlopRRiver
Just had a lol hand.
Folds to me OTB w/ TT82ssdd, I open to 2.5x, whales in SB & BB call. Flop is As6s7c, checks around. Turn is Ad, checks around, river is 9s, sb whale bets pot (7.5bb), fold, fold.
Line check? What flush draws to check and which to bet? Why? B/f turn? As played fold river?
With the villain types you described, I would play it the same. Std fold on river IMO.
HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
06-15-2016 , 12:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheStuntman
With the villain types you described, I would play it the same. Std fold on river IMO.
You'd check flop too? Seemed like a weird spot to flop that good and stick $0 in even after I made my hand.


6,630/10,000. +980 @ 2/5 deep today, ran not so well online in a session before and after.

Thoughts on this HH?: SB is a bad kind of aggro reg.
Spoiler:

    WPN, $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37355563

    Hero (BB): $200 (100 bb)
    MP: $230.63 (115.3 bb)
    CO: $101.95 (51 bb)
    BTN: $213.60 (106.8 bb)
    SB: $482.95 (241.5 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with A A 5 3
    MP calls $2, 2 folds, SB raises to $8, Hero calls $6, MP calls $6

    Flop: ($24) 3 6 8 (3 players)
    SB bets $12.50, Hero calls $12.50, MP folds

    Turn: ($49) 5 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero checks

    River: ($49) 9 (2 players)
    SB bets $28, Hero calls $28

    Spoiler:
    Results: $105 pot ($3 rake)
    Final Board: 3 6 8 5 9
    Hero showed A A 5 3 and won $102 ($53.50 net)
    SB showed T 6 K Q and lost (-$48.50 net)



    Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.



    And this one: Btn is drooler, CO is bad reg. Game is NLO not PLO.
    Spoiler:

      WPN, $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 7 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37355564

      MP2: $60.10 (30.1 bb)
      Hero (MP3): $401 (200.5 bb)
      CO: $200 (100 bb)
      BTN: $947.02 (473.5 bb)
      SB: $200 (100 bb)
      BB: $102.05 (51 bb)
      MP1: $677.75 (338.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K J Q A
      MP1 raises to $8, MP2 folds, Hero calls $8, CO calls $8, BTN calls $8, 2 folds

      Flop: ($35) 7 T 2 (4 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $20, CO raises to $192 and is all-in, BTN raises to $364, MP1 folds, Hero raises to $393 and is all-in, BTN calls $29

      Turn: ($1,013) 5 (3 players, 2 are all-in)
      River: ($1,013) 6 (3 players, 2 are all-in)

      Spoiler:
      Results: $1,013 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: 7 T 2 5 6
      Hero showed K J Q A and lost (-$401 net)
      CO showed J 7 T 9 and won $304 ($104 net)
      BTN showed 9 3 7 T and won $706 ($305 net)
      MP1 mucked and lost (-$8 net)



      Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.



      HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
      06-15-2016 , 07:51 AM
      Can't sleep again tonight. Last night I was laying in bed from 2am up till 615am trying to fall asleep. A guy recommended using melatonin to make me drowsy. I'll look into it.

      Till I nod off I'll do a recap. So I'm chugging away at my poker points goal. It looks like I'll need till mid or late July to hit 10k pts. If I'm comfortable regging the 200pl 6max games by the end of July, I'll be very happy. Depending on how live goes and whether I do any more sessions backed (will likely spend two more weekends doing 25/50 plo @ commerce this summer) I should be on track for 400pl shots by the time school rolls around come the end of August.

      I did a quick tally of all the poker I played from May 13-June 13, and I had a historic month. When all the dust settled, I netted just over 49k profit with about 80% of that being while backed. I cleared 8k of makeup from ages ago with 2.4k makeup added post profit-split halfway through to compensate for locking away 11k of my profit.

      I played the biggest pot of my life -- a 13k pot at 10/25nl with black AA on a QT6hh2oTo runout vs Q2hh and A9hh. Then I played a couple more 12-16k pots at 10/25 w/ straddle plo and regretfully made a massive error after flatting a nitty MP open out of the straddle then x/c leading turn to bet fold 1.7k-6k with KJT8 on a K98cc8oJo runout when villain showed Q975hh after I mucked in what could have been a 17k pot. I had my nut nut nut bluffcatcher and still didn't bluffcatch because he was such a nit but after revisiting combos & his pfr limiting his 99**, I still should have sigh called.
      I also played one of my favorite plo hands of my life where villain made an error on every street, and I was confident in my decision making for sizings, timings, and the line:
      In a 5/T w/ 20 rock game, rock is at UTG+2. Folds to me otb I open 8764ss, spot calls in SB, second spot calls in BB (good game), and weak thinking player more taggy than abc sitting 16k (lol) (11.5k effective) completes out of his rock. Flop is J53dds, checks to me I cbet 170, folds to tag villain who x/r to 400 (lol), I call after considering b/3b. Turn is Qs, he checks (lol), I bet 820, he flats. River is 2s, he checks, I tank then bet 1800, he snap makes it 5k with 5 yellow 1k chips, and I call after taking a few seconds then realizing how awful his line was and how most of his nut spades turned broadway equity too and barrel off + price & fps & other reasons. He had AdTdAs6o for the worst played hand I'd seen all trip.
      And finally my backer got to watch me lose both runs of a RIT after stacking off with AKddQQ on a KT9r w/ a diamond vs QT65 badugi at 25/50 plo at the Bellagio.

      Then I came home and did okay in some 2/5 games and online leaving me to be working with a ~27k roll right now. I'm going to try and protect it as best I can while still making smart decisions of leveraging it for reasonable returns. In some 2/5 deep lineups I'm table changing to 2/5 regular. In other lineups I'm sitting 2k deep. Of course I'd stoploss at like -6k if that went south and rebuild online & at 2/5 regular but the games are so soft and fairly low variance (as low as full ring deep nlhe vs somewhat passive/face up opponents can be) that I definitely should play in them.
      Hilariously after playing a 2/5 deep session with a super nitty (read:maybe 8%VPIP) reg that I'm friends with and his ex-pro gf, I learned that she thought I am a massive spot in the game because of my talkative table presence, consistent non-egotistical/non-patronizing leveling table talk where I come across as a weak thinking player (although not even discussing fake strat obv), and weird (although more correct than standard lines given textures and stack depth) lines like l/rr (a range like AQo/AA/79hh gl iso'ing me with KQo like a bad reg did from EP+2 l0l) and l/calling some hands from EP as well as vpipping hands like 37s after nitreg opens utg (protecting my flat from being squeezed any lighter than maybe even QQ or KK) and 2 flats in front of me in the CO with passive players closing action. I mean my vpip/pfr/3b in that game with the lineup that day was like 31/17/9 with almost all of my EP vpips being limps and my 3bs being exploitatively non-nutted so my flats are uncapped and I'm attacking them with hands like AJs/T8s/trash to punish weakness or induce good postflop spots to leverage stacks with hands that have decent nut capacity. And so apparently cards down I look like a splashy bad thinking player which she made very clear to me... Perhaps the biggest compliment I've had in a while as it means everything seamlessly comes together like it's second nature now. FWIW a bad nitreg stacked off in a l/rr pot when he iso'd my utg limp from MP with AKo on the turn of a AT3ddsQc board for 440bb each with 320bb of it going in on the turn. Yeah, the "pros" are that bad. Then we ran it twice and he sucked out on the first run on my AQ to chop a 4.4k pot.

      I've decided not to take up my friend's offer of living with him in LA and will instead make a few weekend trips as the EV of playing backed in those games is way too high to pass up.

      For now I'll keep on multisiting online & doing live sessions. May add Carbon if ACR volume ever dips or higher limits don't have enough tables tho. I have a student I'll be doing plo lessons for over the summer too that should provide a variance-free hourly.
      In the rest of life, I want to explore a local old school boxing gym and make sure I work out sufficiently. I ordered an extra pair of sweats & a nice hoodie off amazon tonight because I skimp too much on clothing. I don't really spend money unless it's necessary.. ever tbh. I've got a new girl that I might date more seriously (dinner tonight!) and if not a few others to have as flings. I'm also playing my sax a ton which is making me very happy.

      Life is good, man.

      Oh also p.s.: Not all regs are bad regs in my eyes. I played in a 2/5/T deep game that had 4 very solid regs since it was the biggest game running in the area on a tuesday. Guys that have put in 6k+ hours at live midstakes or higher. I threw 'bad reg' around a lot above but that's because I was doing better game selection although to be fair there were two 9/10 whales in the game today.

      I had some nostalgia at the casino today when I saw this indian dude who was a friend of a friend four years ago that drove me when I was underage to play in my first live poker game. I shed some invisible tears thinking of how long ago that was. We had a nice little chat.
      That's all for now.
      697 days till graduation.
      HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
      06-16-2016 , 08:03 PM
      -1.9k @ 2/5 deep. Had a pretty brutal session where I was on the bottom end of 3 coolers and ended the session punting into a station in a spot I thought he'd fold despite being a station. I was wrong.

      Just finished up a lesson, it went pretty well. Definitely was able to give appropriate value to the guy. I'm still deciding whether I'll play live or online or not at all tonight.
      HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
      06-17-2016 , 05:24 PM
      6,880/10,000 poker points and I finally finished clearing the $500 deposit bonus I got from using bitcoin on Bovada.
      Chugging along. I really should be putting in another 2-3 hours a day online, but I'm struggling to find the motivation. I've been going out and living a bunch which has been a nice change of pace.

      This is the setup I'm using this summer:
      Spoiler:

      HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
      06-17-2016 , 06:33 PM
      Dayumn! How old are those?
      HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
      06-17-2016 , 06:49 PM
      Quote:
      Originally Posted by XFlopRRiver
      You'd check flop too? Seemed like a weird spot to flop that good and stick $0 in even after I made my hand.


      6,630/10,000. +980 @ 2/5 deep today, ran not so well online in a session before and after.

      Thoughts on this HH?: SB is a bad kind of aggro reg.
      Spoiler:

        WPN, $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
        Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37355563

        Hero (BB): $200 (100 bb)
        MP: $230.63 (115.3 bb)
        CO: $101.95 (51 bb)
        BTN: $213.60 (106.8 bb)
        SB: $482.95 (241.5 bb)

        Preflop: Hero is BB with A A 5 3
        MP calls $2, 2 folds, SB raises to $8, Hero calls $6, MP calls $6

        Flop: ($24) 3 6 8 (3 players)
        SB bets $12.50, Hero calls $12.50, MP folds

        Turn: ($49) 5 (2 players)
        SB checks, Hero checks

        River: ($49) 9 (2 players)
        SB bets $28, Hero calls $28

        Spoiler:
        Results: $105 pot ($3 rake)
        Final Board: 3 6 8 5 9
        Hero showed A A 5 3 and won $102 ($53.50 net)
        SB showed T 6 K Q and lost (-$48.50 net)



        Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.



        And this one: Btn is drooler, CO is bad reg. Game is NLO not PLO.
        Spoiler:

          WPN, $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 7 Players
          Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37355564

          MP2: $60.10 (30.1 bb)
          Hero (MP3): $401 (200.5 bb)
          CO: $200 (100 bb)
          BTN: $947.02 (473.5 bb)
          SB: $200 (100 bb)
          BB: $102.05 (51 bb)
          MP1: $677.75 (338.9 bb)

          Preflop: Hero is MP3 with K J Q A
          MP1 raises to $8, MP2 folds, Hero calls $8, CO calls $8, BTN calls $8, 2 folds

          Flop: ($35) 7 T 2 (4 players)
          MP1 checks, Hero bets $20, CO raises to $192 and is all-in, BTN raises to $364, MP1 folds, Hero raises to $393 and is all-in, BTN calls $29

          Turn: ($1,013) 5 (3 players, 2 are all-in)
          River: ($1,013) 6 (3 players, 2 are all-in)

          Spoiler:
          Results: $1,013 pot ($3 rake)
          Final Board: 7 T 2 5 6
          Hero showed K J Q A and lost (-$401 net)
          CO showed J 7 T 9 and won $304 ($104 net)
          BTN showed 9 3 7 T and won $706 ($305 net)
          MP1 mucked and lost (-$8 net)



          Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.



          I'm not a PLO expert, but it's just what I would do. You have a T high flush draw with a gutter vs what are most likely calling stations, who will continue on a majority of flops. Turn really kills your hand, and the fish won't fold an ace. River, you have a stationay villain blasting pot into you. Maybe it's a chop and maybe it's a boat, but I don't like calling for a chop. If you c bet the flop, then you would have to double barrel and even triple barrel which I don't like doing vs stationy opponents who can't fold two pair and will call with any type of draw, which I peg these villains as.
          HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
          06-18-2016 , 04:39 PM
          Quote:
          Originally Posted by xazel
          Dayumn! How old are those?
          Like 1997 lol. I'm not picky, works fine for me.


          Quote:
          Originally Posted by TheStuntman
          I'm not a PLO expert, but it's just what I would do. You have a T high flush draw with a gutter vs what are most likely calling stations, who will continue on a majority of flops. Turn really kills your hand, and the fish won't fold an ace. River, you have a stationay villain blasting pot into you. Maybe it's a chop and maybe it's a boat, but I don't like calling for a chop. If you c bet the flop, then you would have to double barrel and even triple barrel which I don't like doing vs stationy opponents who can't fold two pair and will call with any type of draw, which I peg these villains as.
          Ok yes, same line of reasoning over here. PLO can be weird.


          Was in for 4.6k @ 2/5 deep last night and cashed out +$600.
          Also I spent $655 on a boxing gym membership through the end of the summer, but I plan on going there for ~2 hours 6 days/week so it comes out to about $4/hr for this trainer's time which is totally fine. It is one of my biggest expenses in a long, long time tho. Feels good to be investing in myself. I just got back from a session around noon.

          Off to a rugby game tonight with my father then spending the day with him tomorrow for Father's Day.
          HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote
          06-19-2016 , 05:39 PM
          +490 playing three hours of 2/5 deep last night before taking an impromptu midnight trip to the beach w/ the girl I'm seeing. Was really, really enjoyable although it means I slept in till 2pm today. Got the poker income app so will be tracking sessions online and live from here on out. Figured it was dumb not to and didn't want to keep using excel. Online has been bumpy. It's weird because looking at thestuntman's thread his losing/runbad plo sessions are like -1 or -3 buyins. Mine are like -5 or -9. I'll stew on it.
          On to Father's day.. beergarden & some chess.
          HUPLO: The Quest to Break Even Quote

                
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