As for KJ
Quote:
Originally Posted by scurra
$2.50/$5Zoom No Limit Holdem
PokerStars6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
Stacks:
UTG pejanovic ($954.33) 191bb
UTG+1 SicoXXI ($528) 106bb
CO Sowiet Wings ($500) 100bb
BTN Hero ($712.55) 143bb
SB yurasov1990 ($1,114.08) 223bb
BB T3G3S ($634.76) 127bb
Pre-Flop: (7.50, 6 players) Hero is BTN K J
3 folds, Hero raises to $11.25, 1 fold, T3G3S calls $6.25
Flop: 5 K 8 ($25.44, 2 players)
T3G3S checks, Hero bets $7.36, T3G3S calls $7.36
Turn: 4 ($39.72, 2)
T3G3S checks, Hero bets $25.44, T3G3S raises to $98.69, Hero raises to $211.54, T3G3S calls $112.85
River: K ($462.80, 2)
T3G3S checks, Hero checks
Final Pot: $462.80
Hero shows three of a kind, Kings
K J
T3G3S shows a pair of Kings
A 10
Hero wins $459.80 (net +$229.65)
T3G3S lost $230.15
Nothing special really but here's a hand
We expect V to x/r 67, 2p, set and 7/6xdd hands otf very frequently. Meaning he troubles himself when he x/r Turn since our absolute strength will be a lot higher than his. That's not neccessarily bad for specific hands he has but for his strategy.
His Turnsize 98$ is a bit high for slowplayed 2p or turnt 45. 45 doesn't make sense to x/r regardless. Basically he's set or 67 (rare) and a lot of the time on hands like Q9dd Axdd Jxdd etc.
There is 2 problems with call turn.
One: Opponent will be able to cherrypick play River. Aka there might be river he will decide to bluff almost never but always valuebet and we are forced to call. On those Rivers our Turncall EV is ruined because we call a $100 x/r Turn and then most likely a $200 river bet with 0EQ. It's important to note that V will tend to x/r 7/6x type of hands on the Flop meaning he's left with bluffs on the River that don't have any significant value blockers -> therefor decide to check. Meaning we give those hands a free River by calling instead of raising.
So this means that effectively we are realizing less equity with our KJ than we should against his bluffs. He will cherrypick play us. We will hit a River. Make a bad call. We will hit a King or Jack end up calling against his valuerange exclusively. It's just not working well.
The key thing here is that V will not be able to 4bet jam our Turn 3bet with his sets since as I said earlier our absolute handstrength is too high. Meaning V will be forced to call his sets (he will never lead River) and call his flushdraws (he will only lead Flushd Rivers which we don't care about) for a total of $210.
Now we invest $210 instead of calling a raise and a most likely -EV riverspot for a total of $300, we realize way, way more EV. We take away all iniative from Villain. He can not lead unless he binks a flush which we are indifferent to.
So to sum up. We are realizing more EV against his bluffs. We are losing less money against the rare case of him having a stronger hand. We take away all iniative from villain.