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07-14-2021 , 08:31 AM
Lest we let the mood get too dark... Some tasting notes on that New Year's Eve champagne. It had earthy tones, a smooth draw, and the taste of betrayal.

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07-14-2021 , 01:17 PM
Really well written, with the almost mandatory cliffhanger.
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07-14-2021 , 01:50 PM
MOAR
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07-15-2021 , 03:05 AM
Downswings aren’t real. It’s good not to be friends with your roommate and if you want happiness you should hire a dating coach
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07-15-2021 , 12:38 PM
this is phenomenal writing. Could be a book for sure.

Update soon?
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07-15-2021 , 01:29 PM
* gets popcorn *

Ggoddammit,wtf,I'moutofpopcorn?G
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07-15-2021 , 04:01 PM
Just saw the thread title.

I never prayed to God, I prayed to Gotti
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07-23-2021 , 02:10 PM
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Originally Posted by uberkuber
Really well written, with the almost mandatory cliffhanger.
Thanks!

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Originally Posted by bobboufl11
MOAR
Working on part two now. It took me a little while to figure out how to open the second part, as I'm jumping around a bit chronologically for literary effect. Plus I'm working crazy hard lately and grinding my face off, so some of my off days I just don't have the energy to write.

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Originally Posted by NewAcctIsBest
Downswings aren’t real.
That's some philosophical ****. Doesn't really apply to real life on the grind, though.

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Originally Posted by NewAcctIsBest
It’s good not to be friends with your roommate
Can't say I agree with that.

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Originally Posted by NewAcctIsBest
and if you want happiness you should hire a dating coach
Lol

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Originally Posted by gorvnice
this is phenomenal writing. Could be a book for sure.

Update soon?
Thanks! I've thought about doing a book, I have a few ideas, but I don't know if it would be financially worthwhile.

Update probably early this week.

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Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
* gets popcorn *

Ggoddammit,wtf,I'moutofpopcorn?G
Hopefully this delay gives you time to stock back up.

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Originally Posted by TJ Eckleburg12
Just saw the thread title.

I never prayed to God, I prayed to Gotti
That's right, it's wicked. That's life, I live it.

Huge Jay-Z fan here. He'll probably feature heavily in the quotes at the top of some of the posts coming up.
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11-12-2021 , 10:17 PM
Still plan on telling some of the stories I was setting up before, life just got busy and crazy on me.

Today's the obligatory worst day of the poker year update. Got KO'd from the Main today in 725th. 44 < AKo for 15bb. Really never got a ton going in this Main Event, so pretty happy to get this far, but it still hurts. Had a serious lack of premiums and the two times I built a stack, I immediately got KK cracked all-in pre on Day 2, and my only AA of the tourney cracked on Day 3 (I correctly folded flop). Today I was just card dead. Pretty sure I went out in the same level as my prior Day 4 run, which is a nice little needle from the variance gods, though in very different fashion.

That's 5 Mains for me now. 5/5 Day 2, 3/5 Day 3 (went out 50 off the money in the one I didn't cash), 2/5 Day 4, 0/5 beyond. If I keep making Day 4's like this, sooner or later I'll catch my Main Event heater and get that deep run. I just love playing in that structure and with that field, it really suits me and I can do some cool stuff with my specific skillset in that event.

Frustrating WSOP overall so far, may or may not fire a couple more events. Had one deep-ish run, 344/13K people in the Reunion. Went from top 10 in chips to out in like an orbit and a half by running JJ into QQ SB vs BB and KK into AA SB vs BB, then losing AQ vs KQ aipf to bust.

Everything in between that and the Main was a runbad horror show. At least the next WSOP is less than a year away. Hopefully they improve the structures they changed this year, though I have my doubts.

If any of you are still in the Main, GL, run good and take it down!
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11-13-2021 , 05:21 AM
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Originally Posted by cuserounder
Frustrating WSOP overall so far, may or may not fire a couple more events. Had one deep-ish run, 344/13K people in the Reunion. Went from top 10 in chips to out in like an orbit and a half by running JJ into QQ SB vs BB and KK into AA SB vs BB, then losing AQ vs KQ aipf to bust.
that fcuking hurt to read. Sorry man
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07-22-2022 , 06:12 AM
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Originally Posted by cuserounder
Like right now if you asked me if I'd rather have 100K or a bracelet, I'd take the bracelet.
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07-22-2022 , 06:15 AM
Meaning...
1) You badly need the 100k these days?
2) You just won a bracelet?
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07-22-2022 , 01:48 PM
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Originally Posted by uberkuber
Meaning...
1) You badly need the 100k these days?
2) You just won a bracelet?
I think he took 3rd for 100k in the wsop tournament of champions freeroll.
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Congrats man!
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07-22-2022 , 04:30 PM
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Originally Posted by TheTyman9
I think he took 3rd for 100k in the wsop tournament of champions freeroll.
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Congrats man!
Thanks! Yup, and to qualify for that I shipped the very last online bracelet in PA on Sunday night. Sickest five day heater of my life.

Saturday I play PA Online Bracelet Event #7, took 2/115. Lost a pretty big cooler/flip spot heads up when I had him covered but not by much. It was disappointing but I told myself I'd get more chances in the future, and the $12K score dug me out from the Vegas trip for some Main Event satties and Little One bullets and some other expenses.

I had played four bracelet events online in PA to that point and cashed three: 30th, 18th, 2nd. I joked with some friends that I was obviously going to win Sunday since I had to keep the "improve each time" trend going.

So I didn't get a ton of sleep after the late night run, and took an afternoon nap Sunday after waking up early to watch the British Open. Woke up at 5:45, started playing at 6, and made the final table and had a decent amount of chips. I think I was 4/7 or something at that point. Suddenly realized the Tournament of Champions was a thing, and started inquiring as to whether this event would qualify me and looking up flights.

I go on to ship it at 2:35am, leave for the airport by 3:45am, catch a flight at 6am EST, connecting flights and middle seats so no sleep, land in Vegas at like 9:10am PST, check in, attempt (and fail) to nap, and late reg by like 1 hour. Was literally having trouble holding my head upright by dinner break, having been awake for something like 30/31 hours at that point. Had a ton of chips, too. So I went on dinner break (75 mins), set like 8 alarms on my phone, the TV alarm in the room, and asked my gf to call me as backup. Lay down for a 45 minute nap leaving myself 10 mins to get back down and wake up 53 minutes later in a stupor to the hotel room phone ringing, my phone alarm going off, the tv on, and somehow it's my girlfriend on the hotel room phone. Slept through 8 alarms and 9 missed calls on the cell. I was super confused and dazed and looked at the timer for break and realized I had to race down.

I missed 8 minutes of action, first time in my life I've missed hands coming off a break in an MTT. Let myself off the hook mentally because the nap was necessary and it is what it is, I was asleep. My girlfriend yet again MVP managing to sweet talk the hotel staff into letting her call my room. They only let immediate family through, so she hung up and called back and got a different person and claimed to be my wife. God knows how long I sleep if she doesn't get through. Once the alarms stopped going off, it could have been hours.

Anyway, I bagged a good stack, had a wildly entertaining day two after a quite refreshing 6 hour sleep, and made the final 16 for Day 3. So she got to do the red eye no sleep thing and fly out to see the (hopeful) final table. Made the ft, and they announced the PokerGo stream would be the top 6. Made that, played absolutely lights out, caught a couple bad breaks/coolers but what can I say? You could go back to Sunday, change one card in a flip I won, and the entire thing never happens. So I can't get mad. I battled back a couple times, played extremely well on the stream, and took third for $100K.

Definitely wanted the sick back-to-back bracelets with a red eye and no sleep in between story, as well as the non-asterisk bracelet, but I'll get some of those in the future and the score was huge. $136K in five days with a total of 18 hours and 34 minutes of sleep from Saturday morning through the end of the final table Wednesday night.
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07-22-2022 , 05:12 PM
I'll take that as option 2.
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07-22-2022 , 11:31 PM
lol insane
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07-11-2023 , 03:40 PM
bump

Any updates on our hero's progress?
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07-14-2023 , 08:09 PM
I enjoyed the "Starting Business From Couch Change" youtube series that ended prematurely.
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07-25-2023 , 11:20 PM
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Originally Posted by TheTyman9
Tbh I'm not sure exactly what you are saying he did. Are you saying he was using trend analysis and analyzing company financial data and making trades based on this research? Honestly, as mentioned a part of the problem is that even if he made money doing this it unfortunately isn't super meaningful evidence to whether he actually was +ev doing it. But if he's a smart guy and actually was putting in a lot of time and effort then it's def possible he was +ev. But the bigger point imo isn't whether or not people can be +ev. They definitely can. It's whether you can actually be higher ev than just investing in the index and whether the amount of time spent to do it is actually a good return for your time spent. There's an extremely high risk of spending a lot of time just to have a lower ev than if you just invested passively. And even if you are actually able to produce a higher ROI it will be a lower return than spending that effort elsewhere. To each their own though, I think all the evidence definitely points a certain way but nothing is 100% certain.
I'm super late on this, but the idea that you can't beat the market is for

1. after hedge fund fees which are insanely high (ie 1% carrying + 20%)

or

2. when you have too much capital to reliably capture market inefficiencies

However, the gist of what you saying is true "able to produce a higher ROIT it will be a lower return..." is definitely the case. For someone with 3 million capital getting 15% returns is just 150k more than market rate and you'll prob make more money doing other things than grinding stocks. You'll need the sweet spot of enough capital that its worth it and not so much that you can't reliably beat the market which is like at least 10 million

or you have some insider information (nancy pelosi)
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