Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 36
I think the two relevant hands makes him seem looser than he is. Another reg at the table said V's AJ call was unusual for him. As I said, he is a tight passive player. He would limp but mostly with premium hands.
Given that, I don't think he can ever have 45s, 63s, T6s or other small connectors/FD. I think his entire range is AKs, QJs, 66, TT, and KK. That would give me about 45% equity so a call would be right. But after those two hands he really tightened up and he didn't seem like the type of player to risk a lot of money on a pure draw.
If we take QJs out of his range, it drops to less than 30% equity. I'm calling $250 to win ~$450, so almost 2:1, not enough to call. QJs might be in his range but I think he has AK of spades way more.