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Re: Interesting scenario with nut flush draw
All interesting responses.Thanks guys.
Here's my basic thought on this hand after reading everything. I think check-calling the flop is the play and then betting out turn big and river medium when you hit. Playing odds otherwise. This villain may have been capable of folding two-pair, but very few are in this game and it probably wasn't worth the risk, not to mention turn card would have killed us.
If we think he can definitely fold two-pair and that's a super tough read to be sure of, then I think the play is CR the flop and bet turn smallish, leaving enough behind for a huge river bet (with non board-pairing cards). What this does is get rid of his top pair and draw hands and gives us the best chance of getting him away from his top-two while putting the most in the pot.
Bet-folding turn is not really a good option though. Most two-pairs are not going to repop on the turn, they'll just call and most straights or sets would have just got it in on the flop. I expect to get check raised very rarely on this turn and still be beat a ton always by his calling range. I think if you bet turn, you have to jam river.
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