Re: How big a mistake with AA?
I think Hero should call. Once hero gets that flop with a low SPR he should be playing for stacks.
I wonder about the precision of Hero's reads unless there is history prior to sitting down. It seems like Hero has barely played one lap. On the other hand, I doubt Hero has much of an image.
I don't mind a limp reraise plan if Hero has good reason to think there will be a raise. Hero's range under those circumstances should be a lot wider than AA. If Hero has only seen one orbit of hands, he likely should open raise AA rather than try his luck with a fancy play.
The $30 reraise is a lot too small. $6 from the raiser plus 5 callers of $6 plus Hero's $6 to catch up is $42 in the pot into which Hero raises $24 (less than 60% of pot). I think Hero's raise should be more like $45 - $50 all day and his plan for the hand is "play for stacks on a dry flop".
As played, Hero has $295 remaining vs a $120 pot (SPR<2.5). He should be intending to commit on many flops. This is a great flop for aces, especially vs a nice tight player who just about can't have a four.
I think Hero might have been better off flating the $30 donk - not because he can find a future fold, but to try and get more money into the pot. If Hero is ahead on the flop, he is ahead of almost every turn card. Let's give the villains rope and see if they hang themselves.
As played, Hero is getting great odds to call when he is well ahead vs Villian's range. Villain's range is mostly QQ+ and perhaps a few Jx hands and an occational spew underpair. Villain certainly could have JJ or the read might be bad enough for him to have a four. Over all, I think Hero crushes villain's range
Hero isn't deep enough to raise/fold given the size of the preflop bets.