I'm on life tilt, so I'm going to try to kill some time by making a post.
Watching a ton of videos, and playing a ****-ton lately, I've being thinking about something a lot: Decent Regs, and Good Regs.
Decent Regs (DR) are those guys at the table who have a positive win-rate. However, their winnings come from fish, entirely. They play a SF game, almost never bluff, and collect money from CS fish. These regs have a win-rate of ~1-3bb/100 depending on the number of fish they play with.
Then there are the Good Regs (GR). The GR have win-rates of 4-8bb/100. They do not play SF. They have a bluffing range. They win money from the fish, and the decent regs, and they move up in limits.
Let's talk about a typical $2-5 game. These games will usually have a few fish, and a bunch of decent regs. Sometimes (rarely) there is a good reg.
How do the decent regs play? Well, they just play passive, and they don't put a lot of money into the pot without close to the nuts. This is enough to beat LLSNL.
Typical decent reg play:
Preflop (
$7) (
10-players)
UTG+1 raises to $15, EP calls, DR calls with J
J
, HJ calls, CO calls, BU calls, SB calls, BB calls.
Flop (
$120) Q
T
2
(
8-players)
DR thinks, "
Ah, I played this perfectly. Now I can just fold. With so many players, someone out flopped me, probably someone has the queen. I can just check/fold."
UTG+1 bets $30, EP folds, DR folds...
Other examples include DR losing value by going in a check/calling mindset trying to get to showdown cheap on "scary" boards.
Essentially, the DR's generate a +WR thought SF, passive play against SC fish.
Is there a more optimal style? Yes. Why? Because of general game theory type of rules:
If you do the same thing that most regs do, then you don't have an edge on them any more than they have an edge on you. Why? Because you both have the same strategy.
In many games (not just poker) there isn't one supreme optimal strategy. There are only counter strategies.
Consider ATS from CO %s. Player A ATS from CO a lot, like 60%. That can be exploited in obvious ways. Play B doesn't ATS from CO, like 10%. That can be exploited is obvious ways. Okay, so what's the best ATS from CO %s. Well there really isn't one for a ton of reasons.
First off, even DR's don't have a range of hands they ATS with from CO. Even DR's ATS according to who is in the blinds. So it's not like, "Oh I'm in the SB and CO ATS is 40%, so I will exploit by...". Even the DR in the CO is likely adjusting his/her ATS based on SB's/BB's/ fold to steal percent, ect..
I mean all of this is obvious. But I just want to put it down to make the point. There isn't an absolute optimal play that works every time. Optimal play is different for different cases, depending on villain tendencies. Every tendency has a counter tendency.
Okay, so back to the DR versus the GR. How do you exploit the DR's at your games? By identifying their tendency, and finding the counter tendency.
There are tons of great video out there. One I was watching recently brought this up. When you're at a table, or doing a post session analysis, most likely a bunch of DR's at the table, and some fish. So, a bunch of those DR's are doing like 1-2BB/100. Now give yourself this exercise...
- Select a DR;
- Attempt to define his/her edge and win-rate;
- Attempt to define the general plan DR has;
- Recognize that every strategy has a counter strategy;
- Find a counter strategy.
I'll start.
(1-3) There is a DR I play $2-5 with a lot, his name is Maurice. He plays a very passive SF game. He makes his money from SC fish. When he is strong he will bet, when he has a good hand, he goes into check/call mode, generally playing SF w/o a bluffing range, trying to get stacks in with the nuts, and to showdown cheap with decent hands. When he sees another reg put ~100BB into the pot, he assumes it's a monster, unless the reg has been seen bluffing. He folds big hands when deep on scary boards. His post hand comments are usually like, "
Well be probably had the flush, you can't call that, or, well he bet even though the ace came, so you must have been beat, wow, he wasn't afraid of the diamond, must have had a boat, ect."
(4)
This guy can not be beat by having a better blue-line. His W$SD is huge, maybe like 75%. The only way to beat him is to punish his red-line. He can only be exploited by getting him to fold the best hand, which he is often willing to do.
(5) Look for a spot to get him to fold the best hand. For this to work, a bunch of things will need to come together:
I'm going to seat change to his left. I'm not worried about being on the left of the SC fish, since they are so easy to play against.
I'm going to wait till DR is in late position, ideally ~HJ, where it folds to DR and he raises to $25. I will call with a hand that has some value, like 7
9
.
I'm selecting LP because I don't want a family pot. Ideally I'd like HU play. I'm also going to wait until DR has more money than he is comfortable playing ~$800. Being this deep will make DR play scared, and leave me enough to bluff on late streets.
After DR raises as described, DR has a very strong range: {AK, TT+, ect}. I will win this hand by bad beating DR some small percent of the time. But hopefully out playing DR a ton of the time.
Now, the action comes, it folds to DR in HJ, he raises to $25, I call, everyone folds. There should be a ton of boards that I can steal from this guy. Most times the flop is paired, I should be able to steal. Most times, the turn/river completes a FD, I should be able to steal. On most 4-card str8 boards, I should be able to steal. Ect. And, most importantly this should be facilitated by his SF play.
I just want to make the point. This isn't some random DR. This is Maurice. I've played a ****-ton with this guy, so my reads should work. I hope they do. Will they? I have no ****ing clue. But one thing I know for ****ing sure is, I should be doing
something different than the DR's.
Now, your turn. Any DR that you play with enough to have sick reads on? What are his/her tendencies? How can you exploit?
What are you doing, or trying to do, to elevate yourself above the DR's, and become a GR?