AK facing donk shove on river
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 69
1/1 deepstack NL
V1 (tight slightly bad) UTG+2 [$225]
V2 MP1 [$200]
Hero CO [$800]
Hero have AKo
V1 limp EP (limping range SCs, Pair, off suit broadways ), V2 OVERLIMP. Hero raises to 10. V1 call , V2 call
Flop Q78r. [$32] V1 check V2 check, hero bet $ 20. V1 call. V2 fold
Turn 7. [$82] V1 check Hero bet 55 and villian call.
river 3 blank [$192] Villian lead out shove all in $130 into $192 hero [???]
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 25,855
Check/fold the turn. The only way you can call the river is if you think the villain will shove with 10-high.
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 2,575
^ agreed.
Personally, at 1/1 and even 1/2 I'm probably not always c-betting this flop. I will but if I read opponent's as disinterested. When I cbet I'm not expecting folds from any draws so I'm just cbetting small (1/2 pot max) when I think they all completely miss. With such wide ranges and stationy players like at 1/1 the Q is getting hit very frequently, they carry on with 8X 7X any draw including gutshots and even 1 over-card. Fold equity is minimal.
After being called on the flop I'm giving up completely 100% of the time.
Players at these stakes will very frequently slow play all their strong hands vs a perceived strong PFR till the river. Big bets on river are rarely bluffs. They just think hero has AA and stacks off vs their 7X.
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 2,135
Check back the turn. Nothing about the turn 7 will get villain to fold something he can call the flop with.
Fold river as played
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 1,137
Toss one chip into the pot for a call, two to the dealer for a tip and watch V table 9-10. Easy game.
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 4,727
Making some reasonable assumptions for perspective. Assume v isn't limp calling AQ, KK, AA. Assume he only chk/calls river with his Qx hands... What's left?
There are 4 combos of 9Ts. There are 3 each of 77 and 88. It's rainbow so 2 of the four combos of 78s remain.
So 8 value hands and 4 possible bluffs or 2:1
Pot is laying you just under 2.5:1 on a call. So bluff catching would be profitable if 100% of the time villain arrived at the river like this he bluff shoved.
But it's unlikely he always bluffs this spot even half those times. So while it's possible he's bluffing here it's most likely not profitable to bluff catch with A hi here without a read that villain is extremely bluff happy.
And then there Are some parts of his range that won't make any sense betting with here but he will and you'll call and see something stupid that actually beats you as well like underpairs and weak queens.
But I'm guessing you posted cuz you folded and he showed you T9.
