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AA getting bet into by possible flush AA getting bet into by possible flush

01-21-2017 , 11:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikko
If your folding here. You are not defending nearly enough. And are easily exploitable.

As your only calling with Flushes and sets.

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Not if they dont know what I folded. I could easily have AcKs here.
AA getting bet into by possible flush Quote
01-21-2017 , 12:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
You cant just say, "oh well, I was wrong this time but I will be right more times than not". You dont know that until this situation comes up over and over again and if you keep making the same mistake and writing it off to variance or bad luck that he had you beat this time, you are making a big mistake.
Absolutely you can. And should.

You have to be good 25% to show a profit. So he has to be value betting worse or bluffing 25% of time here.

Which is very realistic. If we call a few times. Or see others call. And his range is weighted heavely to flushes. Then we can adjust our calling range. Maybe folding is correct then.

But yes. You can use odds to make calls vs a range. And should. Folding to many rivers is massive leak, (worse in my opinion, than calling to many). As people love to bluff river vs weak players. And get scared (rightfully so) to even value bet thinly vs stations.

AA, KK, QQ, are perfect hands here to bluff catch. As they beat good jacks that he may also taking this line with.









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AA getting bet into by possible flush Quote
01-21-2017 , 12:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
Not if they dont know what I folded. I could easily have AcKs here.
Has nothing to do with what your actually holding here.

When someone is constantly folding to river bets. It is fairly easy to pick up on quickly.

Whether your calling range is 2 weak on turn, or you like to hero fold rivers. It doesn't matter. Your going to see alot more river bets in general. As even bad players pick up on fact that, they have alot of Fold equity on river.

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AA getting bet into by possible flush Quote
01-21-2017 , 05:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikko
Has nothing to do with what your actually holding here.

When someone is constantly folding to river bets. It is fairly easy to pick up on quickly.

Whether your calling range is 2 weak on turn, or you like to hero fold rivers. It doesn't matter. Your going to see alot more river bets in general. As even bad players pick up on fact that, they have alot of Fold equity on river.

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Im not arguing with that logic. Im just saying I personally am not being exploited on the river. In fact, I cant get people to bet the river when I check to them which Ive been trying a lot lately with no success.
AA getting bet into by possible flush Quote

      
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