BB = Frequencies suggest TAG, but I think the guy's LAGging it up more & might be on some sort of tilt. A bad gambly reg kept calling this guy a good player and he got upset, saying "if I'm so good why am I down 3k this month?"
There was no showdown but he claimed to have bluffed in a previous pot where I called BB, there was a field raiser, and he flatted OTB. I had A5o, flopped an A and took a c/c line OTF and OTT to the pf raiser who was leading. Me and the pf raiser checked river and he lead out for ~3/4 pot. We both folded. (pf raiser was wide & bluffy)
He also 3b in position $105 to a TAG looking new kid's open to $20 and another caller. He accidentally flipped a 6 and was asked to reveal another card, which was an offsuit 9.
~$800 eff
UTG: new to table but so far seems like a huge station. ~$500 eff
UTG limps, BTN limps, Hero checks SB w. J
9
, BB checks.
$14
A
J
9
Hero $10, BB calls, UTG calls, fold
$44
8
Hero $45 (miscalculated pot to $60), call, call
$178
6
Hero x, BB $200, fold, Hero?
I'm thinking V either backed into a flush or missed one... possibly made a straight as well. We need to be good ~35% to break even. Are we there?