Villain (SB): mid to late 20s white guy, TAG (covers)
Hero (CO): mid 20s Asian, TAG image ($900)
Hero opens $15 with A
Q
. Villain makes it $50. Hero calls.
Flop: K
7
3
($101)
Villain checks. Hero bets $60. Villain calls.
Turn: 9
($221)
Checked through.
River: A
($221)
Villain quickly checks.
Obviously have to go for thin value here. Unless he's trappy which I haven't seen evidence of so far, I've gotta be good here. Problem is I don't think he's calling much. It's not like he's gonna x/c AJ on the flop. Maybe a weak king, QQ - TT or 7x. Not afraid of a x/r cause only hand I would be afraid of is Kxcc. How much to size?
Also barrel turn again cause I block AK/AA? Definitely would be over-bluffing but I'm not sure if it's a good exploitative play vs the general 2/5 TAG population on this type of run out. And if he calls should I fire river for thin value in a big pot?