Quote:
Originally Posted by PokerPrince
Opening KQo utg is fine; folding is also fine. I prefer to open it in games where people will call preflop with worse kings and queens, which is every ssnl game on Earth.
The checkraise is overplaying this hand. Flopping TP2K on a 2-tone board 4-ways is slightly better than a marginal holding...leading or c/c'ing a bet is better.
As for whether to fold or call vs opponent's jam. It's $300 to win a total pot of $1047. We need 28.7% equity to break even, so we need to give opponent a logical range and see how KQo holds up against that range. Some people are assigning hands like 98ss and 97ss to villain; I think it's overly optimistic to assume random 2-5 players are jamming over checkraises with 9-high flush draws in single raised pots. Someone even assigned villain a range that included AA? Not sure what's going on here.
Realistically we can expect villain to have all combos of KT, sets of TT/66, and big combo draws(AQss/AJss/QJss). He may also jam with some Kxs and bare nut flush draws, but how many? Surely only a handful at best.
Versus a range of KTs/KTo,TT,66,AQss,AJss,QJss,KQss,KJss,K9ss,A5ss/A4ss we have 26% equity.
I think you have to fold here.
You think he's not jamming a gutshot straight flush draw, but would jam a random bare nfd? I gave a generous range for villain, but forgot to include AQ/Js which is there as well, but 98/97s is a good jam here imo.
I've always found in llsnl AA can flip over when you least expect it, maybe not at 2/5 though. I've seen the most horrible lines taken with that hand and imo it's always in v range if they're bad players.