Originally Posted by kenji08
the whole reason LLSNL is so profitable is becasue ppl dont fold. stop trying to bluff so damn much and just ch turn and river or at least ch this river and give up. PEOPLE DONT FOLD
Villain has to fold 50% of the time for this to be a +EV play.
I think in this situation villain is extremely likely to fold to a shove and the percentage that he does so is way over 50%, probably close to 100%... so bluffing is +EV, therefor the correct play.
It's thinking like yours... "villains are all calling stations we should never bluff, just play good hands and value-bet all day" ...that is likely why you are stuck at playing 1/2 and 2/5. You gotta get creative, think outside the box, and don't be afraid to make high-risk plays that show a positive expectation in the long run.