Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
If we go back to the beginning at why I suggested an alternative preflop line, it's mostly because (a) we're OOP and (b) we have zero clue who are opponents are (are they OMCs or ultimate maniacs, we have zero clue) and yet they'll likely be able to force us to play for stacks postflop with minimum difficulty.
If you're really good at making the correct fold (vs call) after weakly checking OOP on multiple streets to an unknown for lol 1/2 PSBs for stacks, then you'll do really well, and nothing more for you to consider preflop. I don't do well in that situation (I feel I'm blindly grasping at straws), and so I lean to doing something different.
Gkindagoingaroundincirclesonthis;goodluckG
Now you're getting back in to crazy talk.
OOP against 8 players is not a good enough reason to limp or fold KK. We do not have zero clue. Hint: OMCs are old men, typically white. We should have at least some vague notion of the type of player based merely on stereotypes. Even if I have no clue in hell, not folding KK. Say I bet a favorable flop and get raised by someone who looks like he could be a nit or a maniac, I use Bayesian inference--there are far more nits than maniacs. We can also sometimes tell by looking at the person's stack. If it is nice and neat, he's more likely a nit. If he's got a dirty stack or chips not stacked messily, he's more likely a LAG or maniac. We call one bet and if the pressure continues maybe consider folding. We can also fall back on stereotypes for how unknowns play in this particular room. Do they tend to be passive? Do they tend to be wild? If OP has played there before he probably knows this. Lack of specific reads on players does not mean we have literally no information.
And I think even many LAGs and maniacs will be relatively careful against an UTG raise from a complete unknown. They'll be more careful than normal when deciding whether to raise on the flop or turn, so we should probably give such a raise some credit.
Or we could raise pre-flop then just x/c to the river to induce bets from top pair. Both options are better than folding or limping KK. If it gets checked around on the flop, we bet the turn and river.
A bad SPR is not even likely if we pick a decent raise amount like $18-$24. Based on 1 to 4 callers, raising to $24 gives us an SPR from 2.3 to 5.6. Raising to $21 gives us as SPR from 2.7 to 6.4. Raising to $18 gives us an SPR from 3.1 to 7.5. The only particularly bad result here is if we raise to $18 and get exactly one caller. I pick the highest raise I think I can get away with and use that.
I'd rather make it $21 and risk no callers than limping. If it gets limped around, it's a terrible waste of a premium hand. Hell I like minraising or 3xing better than limping. It will still keep the SPR high and we can pot control, and we can maintain aggression post-flop, as well as get fewer callers than limping.
We're 100BB deep and you don't want to raise KK for value. You're a madman. A MADMAN!