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Originally Posted by callipygian
You've really boxed yourself into a corner with all sorts of incongruent reads. You should discount KK+ if he would have minraised those preflop, and you shouldn't be worried about him folding if he enjoys calling with weak hands as much as you've read him.
He's done the limp/minRR move twice and showed an Ace both times after he took it down post. I don't know if that means he does it every time with QQ+/AK, or if it's only with AA, etc.
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If you weren't planning on shoving the turn blind, you raised way too much on the flop because you left yourself with 2/3 pot when called. You kind of alluded to this when he called your flop raise and you were like wat.
Well, I also have three other people to act after me before it gets back to V on the flop. I can't exactly raise small and let everyone come along on a super wet board. It's not HU where I can plan the whole hand out on the flop, I have to adjust based on how the 5-way flop action goes.
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You're worried that he's going to put you on a super strong range but claim he's a level 1 thinker.
Maybe this is more like Level 1.5 thinking, but I imagine many Level 1 thinkers would get spooked and not chase a naked draw for a big bet/shove after the board pairs.
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Let's back this up to the flop. Villain bets and you raise. What's his cbetting range here and what's your raising range?
Villain's likely c-bet range: 44, JJ+, AQ, KQ, QJ, all Broadway diamonds, T9dd, Axdd, some other flush draws, perhaps T9/KT no diamonds.
Hero's flop raising range: all sets (I would play some combos of QQ/JJ this way pre), QJ, T9 with or without diamonds, all Broadway diamonds, AQ.