Quote:
Originally Posted by Lurshy
Seeing that many wont 3 bet heads up from the BB. Is this one step further?
In that spot and especially versus a strong range, you're giving up a lot of info. "Dude, I don't care at all that you're a nit and opened UTG, feel my value 3 bet." How many hands can you profitably play and of those how many can be three bet for profit. You're partitioning a small range, and you're OOP in a HU pot where the information is valuable. Also, HU you can c/r and get back your lost equity most of the time. In a multiway pot where you might have a strong equity edge, you could be throwing away multiple bets for "deception" in a spot where nobody notices or cares.
Let's go to an extreme. Nut job opens UTG at a full table. 5 callers call, any of whom would 3 bet this guy with a strong hand. They're loose, though. Now you're in the BB in a 7 way pot with a raise that means nothing.
For all the people I'm encouraging to stove, here you go. People like 3 betting with JTs in this spot. Good idea? Remember, we need a little over 14% for fair share. Let's want a little more due to position.
Equity Win Tie
UTG 14.27% 13.15% 1.12% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o }
UTG+1 13.69% 12.50% 1.18% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
UTG+2 13.73% 12.55% 1.18% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP1 13.65% 12.51% 1.14% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP2 13.80% 12.60% 1.19% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP3 13.71% 12.55% 1.16% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
BB 17.16% 15.88% 1.28% { JTs }
Should we be tight with hands like AJo? Seems not
Equity Win Tie
UTG 14.52% 13.47% 1.04% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o }
UTG+1 13.95% 12.92% 1.04% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
UTG+2 13.96% 12.92% 1.04% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP1 13.80% 12.76% 1.04% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP2 13.96% 12.93% 1.03% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP3 14.10% 13.05% 1.05% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
BB 15.71% 14.29% 1.43% { AJo }
Let's get nutty. (I actually pass here, because this hand doesn't like that many flops).
Equity Win Tie
UTG 14.80% 13.79% 1.01% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o }
UTG+1 14.15% 13.09% 1.06% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
UTG+2 14.31% 13.25% 1.06% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP1 14.27% 13.20% 1.07% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP2 14.10% 13.00% 1.10% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
MP3 14.24% 13.14% 1.10% { 99-22, ATs-A2s, KJs-K2s, Q6s+, J7s+, T7s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, 43s, 32s, AQo-A2o, K8o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
BB 14.14% 12.52% 1.62% { ATo }
You should be playing around with this. My ranges are flat and capped for the callers. How loose do they have to be for hand X to be profitable to 3 bet? How much edge over fair share do you need? This could be none, because your 3 bets will be over-respected.