Quote:
Originally Posted by tiger415
15 oaks
Tag Utg opens, loose MP cold calls. Sb and Bb are both loose. I'm on the button and have TJ. I cold call 2 (am I suppose to fold? Also, what would be my 3betting range and cold-calling range here?) Sb folds, Bb calls.
4 players ($126 pot)
Flop comes T72 rainbow.
Utg leads, MP calls, I raise, BB folds, Utg calls, mp calls.
3 players ($216 pot)
Turn comes 8.
Utg checks, mp checks, I bet, Utg raises, mp folds, I ????
What is my plan from here on and what is utg's probable range here? I think Utg views me as taggish.
Is it ok to reraise the turn (for FE) and give up/check the river on non 9, T, J cards or is there a better way to play? I don't think I'm ever getting 4 barreled on the turn.
1) I usually fold this, but if there is a spot to cold call, it's suited connectors with loose blinds and a cold caller in front. You've a good multiway hand and good position. And I doubt anyone is reading your play.
2) I like this raise. You have a strong hand on the flop, but vulnerable. BB has a lot of Ax, Kx, even Qx in his defend range, so you can protect your hand that plays better with less opponents. This flop also likely sniffed our UTG opener.
3) I agree with bump86 here. A 9 gives you the nuts, a T or J give you a strong hand. Also, if you have any hand history with UTG, think about what he has shown up with here. Usually b/c flop, k/r turn is a strong line that wants customers. So what's his range here?
ATs? Most certainly
ATo? Maybe
77? Maybe
88? Maybe, though he might bet/fold this (I don't think so, though, since you could be raising it up with a draw here)
TT? Yes.
AA-JJ? yes.
Air? Like KQ? Meh, maybe if he's a spew box, but I doubt it.
You have 4 outs v the sets (9), 7 v TPTK (9,J), and 10 v an overpair (9,T,J)
So let's pretend he can have any of these hands:
12 TPTK combos
9 set combos
24 overpair combos
(12(7) + 9(4) + 24(10))/(12+9+24) = (84+36+240)/(45) = 8 outs, equivalent. So, you have a super easy bet/call. You can highly discount any bluffs, since UTG raised into two players, and probably fold river UI.
What's more interesting is if river improves us. I think all of them are a raise/call, but I'd consider r/f'ing a T if villain never three bets without AT, 77 or 88. But according to my app, we have enough equity (67.8%) that we can raise and still make money by calling.
Sorry if this is meandering. Attempted iPad post.