Live 8/16 - 9 Handed
Villain: I have been seated for about (4) hours with Villain. He is a borderline player, with a LAG'ish game. He will typically bet when checked to if he has any part of the board or overcards. He strikes me as the type of player that could be a winner, but cold calls too often preflop.
Currently he is riding a heater that has netted him approximately 30BB in the last hour'ish so he is riding high.
Hero: Before I go into my image, I have no idea how much villain is really paying attention to anything other than his own cards at the moment, due to his heater. That being said...
My image is TAG. I am running well (up approx. 35BB in the 4 hours that I have been seated). What few bluffs I have run have been successful and the hands that I have shown down have been solid winners . So I have not been caught pulling any shenanigans. I have also snapped off a couple of really bad bluff attempts.
Hero is dealt A
Folds to Hero and he raises in MP, Fold to Villain on BTN who 3 Bets, folds to BB who calls, Hero calls
Flop (9 SB):
BB checks, Hero checks, Villain bets, BB folds, Hero calls
BB was horrible and his range was weighted toward suited cards, small pocket pairs, etc. I considered a flop donk to allow BTN to cause BB to call 2 cold, but thought that the real action in the hand was with villain. Had BB stayed, I would have probably raised for value at that point as he would definitely not fold after putting money into the pot (even if BTN 3 Bet).
Turn (5.5 BB):
Hero checks, Villain bets, Hero calls or raises?
So at this point I am torn between calling and raising. Given my read on villain, I am not folding. I am all about TAG’ing it up but I really don’t see what a raise accomplishes here as it doesn’t protect my hand, possibly folds out hands that are crushed and want to bet because betting has been working lately, and if I get 3-Bet (or even if he calls) I think his range really narrows and I would now have to fold (to a 3 Bet) or have a really ugly spot on the river if I do not improve.
I was leaning towards a call as for the same 2 bets that I would spend on the turn raise I can call the turn and call the river and keep his range wide. Does this make sense or am I out-thinking myself here?
Thoughts on all streets, and my thought process are appreciated!