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If you play in good passive games you will rarely if ever take huge downers.
There's one other thing at work, I'm guessing. Let's say you go play the Bay101 every Thursday, Friday, and Saturday evening. You know when to go there get a seat without too much wait. You may know the brush well enough to be on the list, even if they don't accept call ins and you're running late. When you sit down, often 7 people at the table are familiar to you and at most you are focusing on 1 or 2 new players. All this to say, it is really a comfortable environment. You're never really that stressed and mostly the poker is just you going and doing the stuff you know about. Suddenly, you're inching that win rate up over 3BB/100 and the graph starts to look smooth while running up and to the right.
The compounding parts of downswings are so much less likely for this player, because basically God told Moses that you were going to win tonight, they put it on a rock, and dropped it by the podium. All of the feed forward stuff that makes our instantaneous WR go south and not match our average WR, it is lessened for such a player. I'd guess that if you did strict "how often do big downers" happen calcs based on WR and SD, you'd end up talking about fat tails or other stats anomalies, really hitting on the fact that me dropping 75BB yesterday and 50BB the day before makes today not a day to back me -- correlation of results creeps in. Our 3BB/100 guy doesn't run into compounding situations as often and has more confidence reserve.
Agree that a high WR in a passive game has the double benefit of both the high WR and the passive people not stressing you as much.
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At 4/8 it's just super hard to squeeze out another 0.5 because you're losing 3-4 to rake already. I mean maybe an expert can salmon run that **** but most people are going to end up in the ocean of broken dreams.
If you're someone who should be playing 4/8, it is hard to generate the huge skill gap over rake + the field. Even as expert, the rake is still a solid opponent.
It is also possible to run well in placement of downers. Like instead of having two 150BB downers line up, you run well and win 100 in between. Most of us still whine about the break even stretch, but we don't have the mental game impact of the full 300.