Quote:
Originally Posted by chattambi
A rock solid player raises UTG. FOLDED around to you. you hold AKo in SB. What then?
If you still 3-bet, it has to be because you play well post-flop OOP.
I might even fold .
I will most likely raise with position, though
You need to put your "rock solid" player on a range. 9 handed, WITHG has an UTG range of 88+, ATs+, AQo+, KQs. This is a 6% UTG range, nicely snug. A bad player might not be as positionally aware as a high limit player, and given his flatter range, he might be this wide or wider even if he is a bit more snug overall than our TAG book.
The sim is small enough to enumerate all, so no uncertainty here.
1,356,144,768 games 0.005 secs 271,228,953,600 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.206% 43.91% 07.30% 595461660 98972088.00 { AKo }
Hand 1: 48.794% 41.50% 07.30% 562738932 98972088.00 { 88+, ATs+, KQs, AQo+ }
There are some things to consider here. First, you are very likely to blow the BB out of the pot. Your hand has a much better chance of winning unimproved if you are heads up. Also, the dead money from the BB is very nice for you. Also, you're going to play this hand HU and out of position. Being the aggressor here is worth something, and given that you have a small equity edge, you're getting paid to establish this advantage.
Folding here is horrible. Let's go against a rock (who is more likely to allow us to steal some pots).
616,429,440 games 0.005 secs 123,285,888,000 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.819% 28.08% 14.74% 173097708 90852480.00 { AKo }
Hand 1: 57.181% 42.44% 14.74% 261626772 90852480.00 { JJ+, AQs+, AKo }
What is the equity of 3 betting a nit? You have to put in 2.5 SB with only 42% equity. Your return (due to dead money) is 2.94 SB - 2.5SB, so you are getting 0.44 SB of positive return. Also, against a nit, you may be setting yourself up to bluff out his most likely holdings (AK, AKs) on a flop that misses. If he's (correctly) showdown bound, this isn't a consideration.
Flat out:
Folding is bad.
Do this in a 3/6 game and you will be abused.
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FWIW, the player I don't like to play HU and out of position is a correctly tricky and aggressive player. A really solid LAGTAG is a pain in these spots, and if he uses position well, this hand is less appealing. I'm still playing, but I know that I'm going to be put through the ringer a lot of the time. The tighter he is PF, the worse I assume he plays post flop. Even if he has position on me, I assume I'll give a nit trouble.
Last edited by DougL; 12-31-2008 at 07:45 PM.
Reason: Players I don't like HU OOP