This is a follow-up to this thread
Where I am now
So I’ve been playing 6-12 at Oaks for 450 hours now, and I’m beating it at 1.14 BB/hr with fairly generous tipping. About 100 hours ago, I went through a downswing that compelled me to plug a few leaks, and since then I’ve been killing the game for > 4 BB/hr (with some rungood obviously, not that I expect to sustain that long term.) When I sit down, I feel supremely confident, like I can dominate the table; I have a good read on most of the regulars, and I am rarely surprised at what happens in a hand.
Lately I’ve been taking shots at 15-30. I do NOT feel so confident there! I'm up slightly after about 40 hours (obviously a minuscule sample), but I feel like that’s due more to good cards than superior play. So I’m looking for some advice on how to transition to this game.
Differences between 6-12 and 15-30
For those who don’t play at Oaks, most 15-30 players are a quantum leap above 6-12 players. There are typically 2-4 players to a flop (compared with 3-7 players in 6-12), and the pots are a lot smaller. Whereas 6-12 tables often have at least four or five really bad/mediocre players, a typical 15-30 table may have only one or two. There are often one or two 30-60 regs or solid props at the table, and the remaining players tend to be comparatively solid. (I’m told there are times when 15-30 plays like 3-6, but I haven’t been lucky enough to sit then.)
So I need to make some changes. I have some specific ideas in terms of preflop play already, but I don’t want to reveal them b/c several posters here are 15-30 Oaks players! I’m more looking for advice on improving my postflop play. Specifically:
Hand reading and ranges
I’m finding it much harder to read hands. Most 15-30 regs are much more aggressive, and there’s more bluffing, but they’re also starting with better hands. I’m having a hard time knowing when to let a hand go, basically. I’ve snapped off more bluffs than I would have at 6-12, but I’ve also called down with too many losing hands. I’m having a hard time finding the right balance.
I suspect this is partly because I’m not strong at constructing specific ranges for my opponents, nor using the right inductive logic to match them with the betting pattern in the hand. In 6-12, I can get away with roughly categorizing villains as “loose”, “very loose”, etc.; trying to put a lot of them on specific ranges is probably a waste of time, and there are a much larger number of villains. By contrast, the 15-30 universe of players is much smaller, and I need to start doing this.
I generally have an excellent memory, but unfortunately when it comes to remembering specific hands, my brain seems to fail me. It sticks every poker event into short term memory, and dumps it out as soon as the hand is over, for the most part. Does anyone have any specific techniques or tricks they use to construct ranges for their villains?
The second thing is using inductive logic (meaning matching up their betting patterns with their ranges to narrow down their possible hands). I can do this pretty well if you give me enough time to think about it, but it’s a lot harder to do in real time. Would be interested in learning any sources or methods or to improve this.
Deception and tells
Third, I feel like an open book at that table. Like not only do my bets make it obvious what my hand is, but like I’m also giving off physical tells I’m not aware of. I’ve seen a couple players (including one or two at 6-12) who got very good reads off me in specific hands where it shouldn’t have been obvious based on my betting pattern. I wish I could hire a tell expert to sit down in the game and tell me what they’re picking up! Absent that, any good sources/methods/reads for disguising my game?
Conversely, I need to start paying more attention to my opponents and picking up any tells they may have. Is Mike Caro's book still good for this, or will most players at the 15-30 level be way beyond that?
Blind stealing and defense
This isn’t an issue in 6-12 for the most part, and it isn't covered in Miller's SSHE. I need some good advice/reading on how to approach this systematically, what ranges to use, etc. I seem to remember a good thread on this somewhere, but I can’t find it now. Any help?
Thanks, and sorry for the TL;DR text.