Quote:
Originally Posted by wbatas
After thinking about the reads, V1 would've showed aggression with aces up or 2p or sets on the turn. I see kq/qj calling on this river.
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This was what I was thinking. V1 is aggro on a bone dry flop and then shuts down on the Turn. This just screams QX - so KQ or QJ are likely. Perhaps there is some weird QXs hand in there, as I am not sure how wide his UTG limping range is.
Since V3 will play passively we can consider a b/f if he throws out the unbelievably strong River c/r. The only thing that sucks with the b/f is that the pot is fairly large so folding a winner would be a disaster.
V1 called turn, so he probably calls river, esp if you are seen as (overly)aggro. V3 seems to be calling along with not much to draw to, so he may overcall the river in 3rd place, so you can get even more on your value bet.
All things considered I think that this leans towards a bet, though I don't kick myself too hard if I miss it.