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Old 08-04-2012, 06:41 PM   #1
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6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

This thread is exploring the general problem of flopping a vulnerable top-pairish hand, betting and getting called by 3+ people. Assumption is that we bet flop because the players last to act are passive. Also assume loose table, that people raise turns polarized to two-pair type hands (with some turned top pairs)

We have J9 in the sb. 4 people limp, we complete, BB checks.

Flop: 9 6 2
We bet, 3 call.

Question 1: What do people do on the following turn cards?
T
T/T/T
A
A/A/A
K/Q
other kings and queens

Question 2: Instead of 3 people calling, x people call. How big does x have to be before we start checking an offsuit K/Q?

Question 3: What about if the table is aggro? More reason to bet or check?

Question 4: As a general rule, I default to betting nearly everything on the turn with 3 people in with a vulnerable top pair, and reevaluating if raised. At 4 people, I start checking the really bad turn cards, though I feel like I should be checking more on an offsuit turn T. Essentially, I want to know how others determine when c/f becomes more +EV than b/f.
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Old 08-04-2012, 08:22 PM   #2
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

with vulnerable made hands a good plan is to check the flop hoping to checkraise a late position bet. i'm only leading out with strong draws or big made hands
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Old 08-05-2012, 07:25 AM   #3
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

BBB - Lets assume the players last to act are passive and likely won't bet our hand for us. Or, if we c/raise and still get 3+ callers. Do we prefer b/eval or c/c or c/f?
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Old 08-05-2012, 07:52 AM   #4
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

I'd prefer to bet into 4 people rather than hope one of the other players has enough of a piece to bet. No free gutters or over cards imo @ 6/12. You should get more calls than bets on the flop.

I'd bet any non spade, non 6,(maybe not a 2 either if I had a read) on the turn and reevaluate river.
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Old 08-05-2012, 02:44 PM   #5
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

I bet the flop. Hoping that someone bets a worse hand for us so we can check raise is pretty hopeful thinking in a live 6/12 game. Pretty much every turn card sucks and if I can get even one guy to fold, good for me.

I'm betting all turns barring any "tells" or specific player reads.
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Old 08-05-2012, 04:36 PM   #6
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

do you guys regularly have five more people check here if you check first?
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Old 08-05-2012, 10:23 PM   #7
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Absolutely. But not always, so your probably right. I think its much closer than it seems. The 6/12 games I play in can be very very passive. Lots of players would happily see the turn and check if they miss.
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Old 08-06-2012, 12:10 AM   #8
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

This example seems to be a bit of a paradox as I am not sure what villains are so passive that they check the flop but then bet a polarized range on the turn. I understand that you are trying to create a very specific situation, but I think the chances of it occurring are very slim.

Also, think the flop bet is a mistake. With this many people in the hand the chances of us folding out a better hand are non-existent and the only draws that we are punishing are long shots. Meanwhile our flop equity edge is probably small (at best) given the board texture. I think that we are better off checking the flop and betting a safe turn. I understand that like most of the deck is a scare card to our hand, but that is why we have such a small equity edge. We are better off letting it check through and waiting to donk a safe turn (when our equity is significantly higher with 1 card to come).

Assuming that we get to the turn, after having bet the flop and getting 4 callers, I am c/f every card that you have listed unless I have a specific read on a player. There are just too many players in this hand to think the MPMK is still good.

EDIT: there might be some specific instances where I would c/c a turn bet here. I need to think about it a bit more, but my default on those turn cards is c/f.

Last edited by Laminated Effect; 08-06-2012 at 12:29 AM.
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Old 08-06-2012, 09:13 AM   #9
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Laminated Effect View Post
...but my default on those turn cards vs 4 villains is c/f.
Post fixed for clarification.
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Old 08-06-2012, 10:50 AM   #10
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

Typically into a field of 4 with a weak top pair hand, I check and see.
As the hand has played out, I lead all those turns against a field of loose passives.
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Old 08-06-2012, 02:16 PM   #11
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

Quote:
Originally Posted by BeakWetter View Post
Typically into a field of 4 with a weak top pair hand, I check and see.
As the hand has played out, I lead all those turns against a field of loose passives.
What is our plan on a river blank if all of the villains call? Are we betting still? c/r? c/c?
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Old 08-06-2012, 03:21 PM   #12
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Re: 6/12 Out-mooed (possibly LC)

Quote:
Originally Posted by Laminated Effect View Post
What is our plan on a river blank if all of the villains call? Are we betting still? c/r? c/c?
If all villians call the turn, I'd check river UI. I'd call one-bet HU if it's a river blank... I'm not overcalling.

I'm betting the turn because at that point I'd say we are still ahead of enough of villains' ranges to bet for value and I don't want to give a 1 card draw a free card.
However, if all 3 call the turn, I'm more inclined to think we are in fact beat (esp if the turn was non-spade A).
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