Quote:
Originally Posted by phunkphish
If you normally miss your big blind, they make you post a dead small blind on top of posting a live big blind. If you get an option to post in the CO without posting the small blind, that's a win.
Posting a BB in the CO is much better thab posting BB+SB in the CO, yes.
But those aren't the choices. Let's say you come in UTG. Your choice is to post a BB in the BB, wait a hand and post a BB in between, wait 2 hands and post in the CO. If you come in after the BB but before BTN, you can post in betwren or wait one hand and post in the CO or wait an entire orbit and post in the BB. If you come in after the BTN, you can post in the CO or wait and post in yhe BB or wait even more and post in between.
Basically it comes down to how much you would have won in the hands you miss.
The big blind costs about -0.25 big bets, SB -0.15, BTN +0.20-0.30, and CO +0.15-0.20. I don't know what posting in between is but let's just say it's the same as the big blind. Posting in the CO is slightly negative, but because yhe baseline EV from the CO is high, it's a big hit.
If you ignore the rest of the orbit, you probably end up with an analysis around these lines: coming in on the BB adds up to something negative (-0.05), coming in between is slightly less negative (-0.05-0), coming in on yhe CO is even more negative (-0.10 to -0.05).
But the reality is that the rest of the orbit sums positive for solid winners. A 1 BB/hr winner will win +0.15-0.30 from the rest of the orbit. And that tends to swamp out whatever little bit of advantage that you get by waiting. So if you arrive OTB and your choice is to post in the CO or play with yourself for 15-20 minutes until the BB, LOL at waiting. If you arrive between HJ and UTG and sit there playing with yourself and then wave the BB by just to post in between, the tell you give off is worth way more than the EV you save.
If you just post at the earliest opportunity, you will end up posting your natural BB most of the time and CO some 9f the time and in between only 1/9 or 1/10 of the time at a FR table. If you play 150 hands per session you're only posting once, and let's say it's folded to you like 20% of the time. That's maybe once in every 200 hours this comes up.
And posting in between isn't allowed everywhere.