Quote:
Originally Posted by Nchabazam
Just curious Doug, 5/T 6m game, decent 29/22 player stealing 45% and showing down 40% from the BTN opens, what are you 3betting? Let's assume he's not paying attention to who's in the blinds for simplicities sake. How would you derive this range? Would you just use some 20%ish range, or would you weight it more towards Ax and showdown hands and suited connectors/small pairs where we'd want more FE? I guess part of the reason I like to call a lot is because when we get a hand like QTs, I have no idea why we're 3betting, but I feel like I should be.
First, what is a good LAGTAG doing in one of the two seats on your right? It has to be because the SB is a total fish, right? Thus, it isn't a HU pot b/c that guy will cold-call a lot from his SB. Good blind defense starts with the buddy system.
Think about the good player's range.
44+,A2s+,K2s+,Q4s+,J6s+,T6s+,96s+,86s+,76s,A2o+,K6 o+,Q8o+,J8o+,T8o+,98o
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.323% 48.69% 01.64% 1797398716 60400400.00 { 44+, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J6s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, A2o+, K6o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 1: 49.677% 48.04% 01.64% 1773527908 60400400.00 { QTs }
If he plays fit/fold post flop you just negated position with a neutral EV bet. Also, if he caps a strong range, you can rule out overpairs when you flop top pair. I don't mind JTs and T9s our range; the QT and KT hands are more likely to be dominated if he's tighter than we think. Meh, 3 bet about anything you want that has decent equity, imo.
In the end, it is really hard to have a hypothetical discussion here. In HU hands, you have recent history, reads, stats, and feelings about the player. With anyone decent, you have to think about your image. One of my favorite notes is, "has a note that I'm a crazy LAG". If you ever wind up showing down marginal stuff against a decent player, you have to consider that he has a note that will make him spew against you.